{"id":527475,"date":"2026-03-28T12:47:38","date_gmt":"2026-03-28T12:47:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/527475\/"},"modified":"2026-03-28T12:47:38","modified_gmt":"2026-03-28T12:47:38","slug":"what-we-got-right-and-wrong-in-our-nhl-bold-predictions-revisiting-one-for-all-32-teams","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/527475\/","title":{"rendered":"What we got right, and wrong, in our NHL bold predictions. Revisiting one for all 32 teams"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>We can admit it. We were wrong.<\/p>\n<p>Well, mostly wrong. When The Athletic first asked its NHL staff for its bold predictions, it was a different time. One week into the season, we heard about everything from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/6707544\/2025\/10\/11\/nhl-2025-2026-season-predictions-analysis\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">blockbuster trades to breakout players and more<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Now, with less than three weeks of the regular season remaining, some are holding up well, while others look to have been a bit too bold.<\/p>\n<p>This week, our staff revisited its 2025-26 NHL season bold predictions. Which ones get a pass, fail or incomplete?<\/p>\n<p>FailPhiladelphia Flyers<\/p>\n<p>They will trade for Quinn Hughes<\/p>\n<p>This is at least half-right, isn\u2019t it? Hughes was indeed traded as Vancouver quickly plummeted in the standings, but it just wasn\u2019t to the Flyers. While the Flyers were interested, the Canucks had no interest in dealing him to Philadelphia to reunite with Rick Tocchet, per multiple Flyers team sources, and it\u2019s unlikely they would have been able to put a package together that was as strong as Minnesota\u2019s, anyway. \u2014 Kevin Kurz<\/p>\n<p>Winnipeg Jets<\/p>\n<p>Jonathan Toews will play exactly 57 regular-season games<\/p>\n<p>Forget about load management; Toews is on pace to play in all 82 Jets games. This prediction was always a shot in the dark \u2014 57 GP is too specific to hit \u2014 but my idea that Winnipeg might ease Toews into his role, sparing him back-to-backs, and otherwise not immediately treat him as its second-line center was flat-out wrong. The Jets started dropping Toews\u2019 workload late in the season, but he\u2019s still a second-line player in terms of his average TOI for the year. \u2014 Murat Ates<\/p>\n<p>Detroit Red Wings<\/p>\n<p>Lucas Raymond will hit 90 points<\/p>\n<p>Raymond was tracking toward 90 late into January, but he\u2019s fallen off the pace since, and would need a Nikita Kucherov-like finish to hit that mark. Considering he appears to be playing hurt \u2014 missing practice for maintenance \u2014 that looks unlikely. But the Red Wings will be much less worried about the round number and more focused on whether he can help them find a way into the playoffs. He\u2019s shown a penchant for big goals in the past, and Detroit will need some over the season\u2019s final weeks. \u2014 Max Bultman<\/p>\n<p>Ottawa Senators<\/p>\n<p>Jake Sanderson will win the Norris Trophy<\/p>\n<p>Sanderson definitely took steps forward as his team\u2019s No. 1 defenseman, soaking up increased ice time and playing at a pace that should\u2019ve resulted in career-best numbers while being elite at both ends. Sanderson was even on Team USA\u2019s gold-medal-winning team. Sanderson being injured recently hurts his Norris campaign. But he was already in tough with Cale Makar, Quinn Hughes, Zach Werenski, Evan Bouchard, Rasmus Dahlin and more making significant cases for the Norris. Maybe next year. \u2014 Julian McKenzie<\/p>\n<p>Carolina Hurricanes<\/p>\n<p>Alexander Nikishin will win the Calder Trophy<\/p>\n<p>Nikishin has an outside shot of being a finalist for the Calder Trophy and should make the All-Rookie team, but no one is surpassing emerging Islanders star Matthew Schaefer as this season\u2019s top rookie. Still, Nikishin has had a record-breaking campaign, scoring the most goals (10) by a rookie defenseman in franchise history while establishing himself as a physical force on Carolina\u2019s blue line. \u2014 Cory Lavalette<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/static01.nyt.com\/athletic\/uploads\/wp\/2026\/03\/27183909\/GettyImages-2244220072-scaled-e1774651227994.jpg\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-7152845 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/GettyImages-2244220072-scaled-e1774651296582.jpg\" alt=\"Sam Rinzel didn't have the year many thought he could have. \" width=\"2547\" height=\"1696\"  \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\n      Sam Rinzel didn\u2019t have the year many thought he could have. (Michael Reaves \/ Getty Images)<\/p>\n<p>Chicago Blackhawks<\/p>\n<p>Sam Rinzel will win the Calder Trophy<\/p>\n<p>Rinzel didn\u2019t come close to having that type of season. While he started the season with high expectations after a strong finish last season, he couldn\u2019t maintain that consistency going through his first full pro year. His game and confidence took a hit, and eventually, he was sent to the AHL for a stint. He\u2019s back in the NHL and has been regaining his form. But overall, it wasn\u2019t the year many thought he could have as a potential top-pairing defenseman and power-play quarterback. \u2014 Scott Powers<\/p>\n<p>Vancouver Canucks<\/p>\n<p>Filip Chytil will be the team\u2019s second most valuable forward this season<\/p>\n<p>This was looking good a week into the season, but fell apart when Chytil sustained a concussion on a Tom Wilson hit. Then, after returning to the lineup and not looking like himself for a brief stint ahead of the Olympic break, Chytil sustained a fractured orbital bone on a freak practice accident. This was an L for us. \u2014 Thomas Drance<\/p>\n<p>Seattle Kraken<\/p>\n<p>Shane Wright will break out<\/p>\n<p>Wright hasn\u2019t built on his 44-point 2024-25 campaign. His usage has been flat, as new Kraken coach Lane Lambert has instead increased Chandler Stephenson\u2019s role (and defensive responsibility), and Wright\u2019s production has trended down. Meanwhile, there have been whispers that he\u2019s dissatisfied with his role and would welcome a change of scenery. This is a swing and a miss from me on the Wright breakout.\u00a0\u2014 Thomas Drance<\/p>\n<p>Toronto Maple Leafs<\/p>\n<p>Matthew Knies will lead the NHL in short-handed goals<\/p>\n<p>Woof. Bold apparently equals bad. Not only is Knies not going to lead the NHL in short-handed goals, but he also just scored his first short-handed goal of the season (and his career) this week! What\u2019s gone wrong? One part is opportunity: Knies has only been a secondary contributor on the Leafs penalty kill this season, particularly before the trade deadline. We also know that Knies played through injury this season. I still see a future where he can become a menace on the penalty kill. \u2014 Jonas Siegel<\/p>\n<p>Vegas Golden Knights<\/p>\n<p>Jack Eichel will score the most goals in franchise history<\/p>\n<p>This was a total whiff. With the addition of Mitch Marner, I thought Eichel would be on the receiving end of more passes. Instead, William Karlsson missed nearly the entire season, Marner was bumped to the center position, away from the top line, and Eichel spent the vast majority of his time as a passer. He doesn\u2019t have a single goal on the power play for the first time in his 11 NHL seasons, and has his fewest goals as a Golden Knight. \u2014 Jesse Granger<\/p>\n<p>Florida Panthers<\/p>\n<p>They will make a blockbuster trade to replace Aleksander Barkov<\/p>\n<p>After three consecutive trips to the final and two straight Cup titles, all of that hockey finally caught up with the Panthers. Not only were they not able to attempt to replace Barkov using that cap space, but they\u2019re also going to miss the playoffs, with his absence a big reason why. Expect Florida to reload in the offseason \u2014 including possibly with a high pick \u2014 and try to take another run at things next year. \u2014 James Mirtle <\/p>\n<p>Minnesota Wild<\/p>\n<p>Matt Boldy will rack up 50 goals and 50 assists<\/p>\n<p>Boldy has tailed off a bit, but Joe Smith was close. Boldy has 38 goals and 38 assists in 69 games \u2014 a pace of 45.2 goals and 45.2 assists over an 82-game season. He missed four games, though, so unless he catches fire, it ain\u2019t happening. Still, what a year for Boldy, who blossomed into a star and won gold at the Olympics. Still, I knew I should have done the submission, not Joe. I told Joe in October, \u201cThe Wild will trade for Quinn Hughes,\u201d but he ignored me. \u2014 Michael Russo<\/p>\n<p>Dallas Stars<\/p>\n<p>Thomas Harley will be a Norris Trophy finalist<\/p>\n<p>Harley reached a new tier of stardom last year during Miro Heiskanen\u2019s injury absence, but has taken a small step back this season. His production has dropped off, and he\u2019s been basically an even player at five-on-five. He\u2019s still a good player, of course, but he certainly hasn\u2019t bullied his way into the Cale Makar, Quinn Hughes, Zach Werenski, Matthew Schaefer conversation. Not yet, at least. \u2014 Mark Lazerus<\/p>\n<p>Buffalo Sabres<\/p>\n<p>Zach Benson will break out with 60 points<\/p>\n<p>Entering play Friday, Benson is playing at roughly a 52-point pace, but he\u2019s missed 17 games this season due to injuries. He has 10 goals and 25 assists, but is also plus-25, and the Sabres have 53 percent of the expected goals during his five-on-five minutes. He continues to make a major impact, even if the point production hasn\u2019t been there. He\u2019s still only 20, and the underlying metrics suggest a surge in points is coming. \u2014 Matthew Fairburn<\/p>\n<p>Los Angeles Kings<\/p>\n<p>Brandt Clarke will break out with 50 points<\/p>\n<p>Clarke has 38 points in his 72 games. I can\u2019t see him getting 12 more in the remaining 10 contests. But that\u2019s not his fault. The 23-year-old has been one of the few bright lights for the Kings, who\u2019ve been slow to understand he is their best defenseman. He didn\u2019t get a steady dose of 20-plus minutes until January and is finally quarterbacking their top power-play unit. He can play NHL-level defense. Don\u2019t blame me for getting this wrong. \u2014 Eric Stephens<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/USATSI_28594491-scaled-e1774644923191.jpg\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-7152594 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/USATSI_28594491-scaled-e1774644923191.jpg\" alt=\"Dylan Guenther has had a terrific year.\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1708\"  \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\n      Dylan Guenther has had a terrific year. (Rob Gray \/ Imagn Images)<\/p>\n<p>Utah Mammoth<\/p>\n<p>Dylan Guenther will finish top five in the league for goals<\/p>\n<p>Guenther is tied for ninth in league goal scoring and is on pace to hit 42, so I wasn\u2019t off by much, but he\u2019s four goals back of a top-five finish, which seems insurmountable this late in the season. The 22-year-old sniper has still had a terrific year, especially when you consider how much time his usual center, Logan Cooley, missed with injury. \u2014 Harman Dayal<\/p>\n<p>IncompleteCalgary Flames<\/p>\n<p>Matthew Coronato will lead the team in goals<\/p>\n<p>With 16 goals, Coronato is one goal off the team lead held by Blake Coleman and Morgan Frost, and is tied with two other teammates. He may fall short of his 24-goal output last year, but he could still conceivably end the season as Calgary\u2019s goals leader. Even if fans will patiently wait for Coronato to take a step forward, they can\u2019t be too upset to see Coronato near the top of the team\u2019s goal-scoring leaders. \u2014 Julian McKenzie<\/p>\n<p>St. Louis Blues<\/p>\n<p>They will give up the fewest six-on-five goals in the NHL<\/p>\n<p>This prediction was made in the aftermath of the Blues\u2019 Game 7 collapse against Winnipeg last season, when they allowed two six-on-five goals in the final two minutes of regulation and fell 4-3 in double OT. They allowed 15 six-on-five goals in 2024-25, including the playoffs, which was the most in the NHL. They haven\u2019t allowed the fewest six-on-five goals this season (five, tied for the 11th-fewest through Thursday), but they have been better. \u2014 Jeremy Rutherford<\/p>\n<p>New Jersey Devils<\/p>\n<p>Arseny Gritsyuk will finish in the top five of Calder Trophy voting<\/p>\n<p>Gritsyuk probably won\u2019t be top five in Calder Trophy voting, but he likely will receive some down-ballot votes. He\u2019s had a strong rookie season; his 31 points rank ninth in the NHL among rookies. He\u2019s been a promising part of an otherwise disappointing season. He\u2019s also 12th among rookies with 13 goals. \u2014 Peter Baugh<\/p>\n<p>San Jose Sharks<\/p>\n<p>They will re-sign John Klingberg<\/p>\n<p>The Sharks haven\u2019t determined Klingberg\u2019s fate. The 33-year-old has evolved into a serviceable right-handed puck mover, though the swings in his play this season have bordered on the dramatic. He\u2019s a pending UFA, but San Jose\u2019s patchwork blue line is still in need of a serious upgrade. The better play is to move on, which seems likely. \u2014 Eric Stephens<\/p>\n<p>Tampa Bay Lightning<\/p>\n<p>They will go to the Stanley Cup Final<\/p>\n<p>The Lightning still have to get through the regular season and three playoff rounds to live up to this bold prediction \u2026 but the odds are in their favor. According to Dom\u2019s model, Tampa Bay has the best chance of reaching the Stanley Cup Final (49 percent) and a league-high 32 percent chance to win it all. There can always be upsets in the chaos of the NHL playoffs, but this team looks like a real contender to do some damage this spring. \u2014 Shayna Goldman<\/p>\n<p>New York Islanders<\/p>\n<p>Mathew Barzal will put up 90 points<\/p>\n<p>If only I had gone for something actually bold, such as Matthew Schaefer emerging as one of the greatest 18-year-olds of all time. Who would have thought! Instead, the bet was on Barzal, who probably won\u2019t hit the 90-point mark. He has 65 points in 72 games, which puts him on pace for 73 points. Sure, he could go on a tear down the stretch to better the Isles\u2019 playoff chances, but 25 points is a lot to ask for in just nine games. \u2014 Shayna Goldman<\/p>\n<p>Washington Capitals<\/p>\n<p>Tom Wilson will lead the team in goals<\/p>\n<p>This was bolder than you might think; other than in 2016-17, when Alex Ovechkin and T.J. Oshie each had 33 goals, the last non-Ovechkin player to lead the Capitals was Robert Lang in 2003-04. I was feeling pretty good about it Wednesday afternoon \u2014 shortly before Ovechkin put up a hat trick against Utah, giving him 29 goals and a four-goal lead over Wilson. It\u2019ll be an uphill battle. \u2014 Sean Gentille<\/p>\n<p>PassNashville Predators<\/p>\n<p>Andrew Brunette will still be the team\u2019s coach at the end of the season<\/p>\n<p>Barry Trotz was indeed patient with Brunette, probably more so than many general managers in this league would have been given the team\u2019s dreadful start. Brunette has again hung in and turned around the Preds\u2019 season, as he did two years ago. He deserves credit for that. And consideration from whoever ends up succeeding Trotz in the offseason. \u2014 Joe Rexrode<\/p>\n<p>Colorado Avalanche<\/p>\n<p>Mackenzie Blackwood and Scott Wedgewood will win the William M. Jennings Trophy<\/p>\n<p>Hey, I nailed one! The Avalanche have allowed 19 fewer goals than the next-closest team (Dallas). The combination of Wedgewood and Blackwood has been one of the most dominant tandems in the NHL, which isn\u2019t how most viewed it entering the season. The team in front of the duo has obviously played a big role, but the goalies have been sensational, especially Wedgewood. If they hold on, it will be only the second time Colorado has won the Jennings (Patrick Roy in 2002). \u2014 Jesse Granger<\/p>\n<p>Montreal Canadiens<\/p>\n<p>Juraj Slafkovsk\u00fd will score 30 goals<\/p>\n<p>Slafkovsk\u00fd scored his 28th goal of the season this week, so barring a massive drought over the Canadiens\u2019 final 11 games or an injury, he should clear this bar quite easily. And with the way he\u2019s been driving play and becoming one of the more lethal power-play weapons in the league this season, Slafkovsk\u00fd might be setting his new floor as opposed to hitting a ceiling. \u2014 Arpon Basu<\/p>\n<p>Columbus Blue Jackets<\/p>\n<p>Jet Greaves will take off<\/p>\n<p>I haven\u2019t danced like this in years! I didn\u2019t just pass, I earned an A+ for one of the few times in my life. Greaves has, in fact, \u201ctaken off\u201d this season, taking the No. 1 job away from Elvis Merzlikins (45 starts vs. 27) and thriving in his first full NHL season. Among goalies with at least 25 games, Greaves is 14th in wins (24), 11th in save percentage (.910), and, according to MoneyPuck, seventh in goals saved above expected (+17.4). Yep, he\u2019s one of the best stories in the league this season. \u2014 Aaron Portzline<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/GettyImages-2263882670-scaled-e1774644824925.jpg\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-7152588 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/GettyImages-2263882670-scaled-e1774644824925.jpg\" alt=\"Jeremy Swayman won gold with Team USA at the Olympics.\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1708\"  \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\n      Jeremy Swayman won gold with Team USA at the Olympics. (Bruce Bennett \/ Getty Images)<\/p>\n<p>Boston Bruins<\/p>\n<p>Jeremy Swayman will enter the Olympic conversation<\/p>\n<p>Swayman has regressed to his standard form. He indeed was named to the U.S. Olympic team and even stole a start from reigning Hart Trophy winner Connor Hellebuyck during the tournament. He is also leading the Bruins to the playoffs, with a 28-15-4 record, 2.72 goals-against average and .908 save percentage \u2014 after going 22-29-7 with a 3.11 GAA and .892 save percentage last season.\u00a0\u2014 Fluto Shinzawa<\/p>\n<p>New York Rangers<\/p>\n<p>They will have six players who are 23 or younger in their lineup by February<\/p>\n<p>The Rangers haven\u2019t had six 23-and-under players every night, but they did at least once by February. On Jan. 31, they had six: Will Cuylle (who turned 24 shortly after), Noah Laba, Scott Morrow, Matt Rempe, Gabe Perreault and the now-traded Brennan Othmann. The team has certainly made a shift to young players, most recently bringing up 21-year-old Adam S\u00fdkora. \u2014 Peter Baugh<\/p>\n<p>Pittsburgh Penguins<\/p>\n<p>Bryan Rust will not be traded<\/p>\n<p>Rust indeed remains a member of the Penguins. Many believed Rust was as good as gone when his no-movement power expired last July. Kyle Dubas, though, values everything Rust brings to the table far too much to move him. He\u2019s having yet another exceptional season. \u2014 Josh Yohe<\/p>\n<p>Edmonton Oilers<\/p>\n<p>Evan Bouchard will be a Norris Trophy finalist<\/p>\n<p>Bouchard has delivered a phenomenal season for the Oilers and earned Norris consideration. He leads all NHL defensemen in points and, as of Wednesday, is the owner of a 55 percent goal share at five-on-five (Edmonton is 42 percent without him). He plays the toughest minutes on the team and thrives in all game states. Despite some defensive lapses, he\u2019s an impact player and would be a worthy Norris finalist. His much-criticized $10.5 million AAV contract is a value deal. \u2014 Allan Mitchell<\/p>\n<p>Anaheim Ducks<\/p>\n<p>They will make the playoffs<\/p>\n<p>This was their mission statement after hiring Joel Quenneville as their head coach. While a nine-game losing streak threatened to derail this level-up season, the Ducks have responded by going 20-6-1 over a 27-game stretch. It has helped them move to the top of the Pacific, where they are in a good position to claim their first division title since 2016-17. But what about that negative goal differential? Details, details. \u2014 Eric Stephens<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"We can admit it. We were wrong. Well, mostly wrong. When The Athletic first asked its NHL staff&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":527476,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[5129],"tags":[233,95,229,26,29,96,144,230,147,93,146,276,57,149,5317,5,145,38,21,231,151,159,35,4,25,56,100,168,234,84,92,31,3154,27,74,39,5316,109,18],"class_list":{"0":"post-527475","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-vegas-golden-knights","8":"tag-anaheim-ducks","9":"tag-boston-bruins","10":"tag-buffalo-sabres","11":"tag-calgary-flames","12":"tag-carolina-hurricanes","13":"tag-chicago-blackhawks","14":"tag-colorado-avalanche","15":"tag-columbus-blue-jackets","16":"tag-dallas-stars","17":"tag-detroit-red-wings","18":"tag-edmonton-oilers","19":"tag-fantasy-hockey","20":"tag-florida-panthers","21":"tag-golden-knights","22":"tag-goldenknights","23":"tag-hockey","24":"tag-los-angeles-kings","25":"tag-minnesota-wild","26":"tag-montreal-canadiens","27":"tag-nashville-predators","28":"tag-new-jersey-devils","29":"tag-new-york-islanders","30":"tag-new-york-rangers","31":"tag-nhl","32":"tag-ottawa-senators","33":"tag-philadelphia-flyers","34":"tag-pittsburgh-penguins","35":"tag-san-jose-sharks","36":"tag-seattle-kraken","37":"tag-st-louis-blues","38":"tag-tampa-bay-lightning","39":"tag-toronto-maple-leafs","40":"tag-utah-mammoth","41":"tag-vancouver-canucks","42":"tag-vegas","43":"tag-vegas-golden-knights","44":"tag-vegasgoldenknights","45":"tag-washington-capitals","46":"tag-winnipeg-jets"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"","error":"Validation failed: Text character limit of 500 exceeded"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/527475","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=527475"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/527475\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/527476"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=527475"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=527475"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=527475"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}