The Ottawa Senators (40-27-10) square off against the Tampa Bay Lightning (48-23-6) at Canadian Tire Centre on Tuesday, April 7 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Senators defeated the Carolina Hurricanes 6-3 in their most recent game, while the Lightning are coming off a 4-2 loss to the Buffalo Sabres.<\/p>\n
Sign up for ESPN+ today<\/a> to watch 1,000+ out-of-market NHL games, ESPN+ Hockey Night & more.<\/p>\n Ahead of this matchup, here’s who we project to take home the victory in Tuesday’s hockey action.<\/p>\n The Lightning have put up 36 goals over their last 10 outings, while conceding 26 goals. A total of 30 power-play opportunities during that time have turned into six power-play goals (20.0%). They are 6-2-2 over those games.<\/p>\n Lightning vs. Senators Predictions for Tuesday<\/p>\n Our computer model for this contest predicts a final score of Senators 4, Lightning 3.<\/p>\n Moneyline Pick: Senators (-136) Watch 1,000+ out-of-market NHL games, ESPN+ Hockey Night & more streaming all season on ESPN+.<\/a><\/p>\n Senators Splits and Trends<\/p>\n The Senators (40-27-10 overall) have a 6-10-16 record in matchups that have needed overtime. The Lightning have a 48-23-6 record this season and are 9-6-15 in matchups that have gone to overtime. Looking for NHL tickets? Head to StubHub today<\/a> and see your team live.<\/p>\n Team Stats Comparison<\/p>\n Lightning vs. Senators Game Time and TV Channel<\/p>\n When: Tuesday, April 7, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
\nTotal Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 6.1 goals on average)
\nSpread Pick: Lightning (+1.5)<\/p>\n
\nIn the 32 games Ottawa has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 13-10-9 record (good for 35 points).
\nIn the 10 games this season the Senators recorded only one goal, they finished 0-9-1.
\nOttawa has scored two goals in 17 games this season (6-7-4 record, 16 points).
\nThe Senators have scored at least three goals 49 times, and are 34-10-5 in those games (to record 73 points).
\nIn the 26 games when Ottawa has scored a lone power-play goal, it has a 15-6-5 record (35 points).
\nIn the 52 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Ottawa is 32-17-3 (67 points).
\nThe Senators have been outshot by opponents in 22 games, going 7-8-7 to record 21 points.
\nLightning Splits and Trends<\/p>\n
\nIn the 22 games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 22 points.
\nAcross the eight games this season the Lightning finished with only one goal, they have earned five points.
\nWhen Tampa Bay has scored two goals this season, they’ve earned 11 points (4-9-3 record).
\nThe Lightning have scored three or more goals in 51 games, earning 86 points from those contests.
\nTampa Bay has scored a lone power-play goal in 27 games this season and has recorded 35 points from those matchups.
\nWhen it outshoots its opponent this season, Tampa Bay has posted a record of 26-12-5 (57 points).
\nThe Lightning’s opponents have had more shots in 32 games. The Lightning went 20-11-1 in those contests (41 points).<\/p>\n
\nTV Channel: ESPN+
\nLive Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+<\/a>
\nWhere: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, Ontario<\/p>\n