![\"\"\/](\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/285.png\")
\n Andrei Vasilevskiy (Expected)<\/p>\n
NHL Betting Preview: Lightning vs Canadiens<\/p>\n
The Tampa Bay Lightning go up against the Montreal Canadiens at Bell Centre, with face-off scheduled for 16:00 on Thursday, April 9.<\/p>\n
Lightning To Have No Joy<\/p>\n
The Canadiens are available at -102 when it comes to the Moneyline. Our prediction is that they\u2019ll outscore the Lightning and there\u2019s value available when it comes to these odds.<\/p>\n
Lightning Have Claimed 7 Wins in 10 on H2H<\/p>\n
Tampa Bay Lightning have been defeated in their previous three road games. They recently suffered a 6-2 loss against Ottawa Senators at Canadian Tire Centre. Corey Perry and Nick Paul each scored one goal.<\/p>\n
Montreal Canadiens won their last game, beating Florida Panthers at home. It was a 4-3 (SO) win at Bell Centre. Nick Suzuki, Ivan Demidov and Phillip Danault scored one goal apiece.<\/p>\n
Head-to-Head Statistics<\/p>\n
The Habs won the most recent encounter between these teams. A 4-1 victory was registered against the Lightning at Benchmark International Arena. The Lightning have won seven of the past 10 games that these teams have played.<\/p>\n
Starting Goalies<\/p>\n
\n Andrei Vasilevskiy (Expected)<\/p>\n
Season
\n W-L-OTL:
\n GAA:
\n SV%:
\n SO:<\/p>\n
24\/25
\n 37-14-4
\n 2.3
\n .911
\n 2<\/p>\n
23\/24
\n 30-20-2
\n 2.9<\/p>\n
.900
\n 2<\/p>\n
![\"\"\/](\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/278.png\")
\n Jakub Dobes (Expected)<\/p>\n
Season
\n W-L-OTL:
\n GAA:
\n SV%:
\n SO:<\/p>\n
24\/25
\n 28-8-4
\n 2.7
\n .904
\n 0<\/p>\n
Tampa Bay Lightning \u2013 Last 10 Games<\/p>\n
5 wins, 3 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.3 goals from 29.6 shots on goal, with a 9.4% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have given up 3.3 goals from 26.3 shots, averaging 5.4 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 88.9%.<\/p>\n
Jake Guentzel is the top points scorer with 14 points, 6 goals and 8 assists, with Darren Raddysh racking up 9 points, 3 goals and 6 assists, in the past 10 games. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 2.59 goal against average with a .893 save percentage.<\/p>\n
Montreal Canadiens \u2013 Last 10 Games<\/p>\n
The Habs have 9 wins and 1 loss, averaging 3.4 goals from 25.2 shots on goal, with a 12.3% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 2.0 goals from 30.2 shots, averaging 4.3 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 90.7%.<\/p>\n
The top points scorer is Cole Caufield with 17 points, 9 goals and 8 assists, while Nick Suzuki is next best after registering 15 points, 4 goals and 11 assists. Goalie Jakub Dobes have a 1.79 GAA with a .948 SV%.<\/p>\n
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction & Picks<\/p>\n
Take on Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice and a value-driven bet builder. Scroll down for the full breakdown.<\/p>\n
Game Prediction<\/p>\n
If you\u2019re looking for a value bet, then -102 that Montreal Canadiens win this NHL game certainly stands out. We\u2019re expecting them to triumph on the Moneyline at attractive odds.<\/p>\n
Recent form is always part of the equation and we combine it with team news as soon as it\u2019s available. To deliver expert hockey picks, our handicappers also analyze the latest NHL stats to ensure we\u2019re working with the best information possible.<\/p>\n
Key Lightning vs Canadiens stats:<\/p>\n
Canadiens have won 9 of their last 10 games.Canadiens have won 4 of their last 5 games.Lightning have lost their last 3 games on the road.Lightning have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.Canadiens Moneyline Probability<\/p>\n
When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 50.5% chance of landing a return. In the opinion of our cappers, there\u2019s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.<\/p>\n
Looking for Bigger Odds?<\/p>\n
There are different ways to boost the odds on a Moneyline pick and some bettors take the Bet Builder option. It\u2019s effectively a same game parlay where you throw in other selections.<\/p>\n
Stop! Before you bet, grab a top welcome bonus<\/a>. Check out our guide for the latest betting offers available now.<\/p>\n \n Our Game Prediction\n <\/p>\n Bet Now Thrill Promo Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy<\/a>. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 8, 20:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly<\/a>.<\/p>\n Published 20:56, 08 April 2026<\/p>\n Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens Odds<\/p>\n The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.<\/p>\n Close Game On the Cards According to Latest Odds<\/p>\n The betting odds about Montreal Canadiens winning is -102, with Tampa Bay Lightning priced up at -118 to achieve victory. According to the top sportsbooks, the home team have an implied probability of 51%.<\/p>\n The puck line is 1.5 and total goals is 6.5. A Totals wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you fancy Over 6.5, this outcome can be backed at -108.<\/p>\n You can find a huge selection of team props and game lines for every National Hockey League matchup, with the top betting apps<\/a> creating many different options. Check out the in-game and pre-game selections before placing your wagers.<\/p>\n Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.<\/p>\n Team Stats<\/p>\n Latest regular season and playoff games stats.<\/p>\n Montreal Canadiens Stats<\/p>\n \t\t\t\t 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games<\/p>\n \t\t\t\t 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road<\/p>\n \t\t\t\t 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games<\/p>\n \t\t\t\t 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games<\/p>\n \t-1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games \t\t\t\t\t \t+1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 9 of the last 10 games Game Totals: An average of 6.60 goals in the previous 10 games Game Totals: An average of 5.60 goals in the previous 10 games Last 10 Games<\/p>\n \tGoals Powerplay: 0.5 Last 10 Games on the Road<\/p>\n Goals Powerplay: 0.6 Last 10 Games<\/p>\n Goals Powerplay: 0.7 Last 10 Home Games<\/p>\n Goals Powerplay: 0.4 Starting Lineups<\/p>\n Both teams\u2019 confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.<\/p>\n Expert Analysis by Kevin Thompson<\/p>\n NHL Analyst<\/p>\n About the Analyst<\/p>\n Our ice hockey previews are produced by a specialised team of analysts, former odds compilers and sports journalists. Picks are research-driven and reviewed for accuracy and editorial consistency under the oversight of our hockey panel and Editor-in-Chief.<\/p>\n View Profile & Track Record<\/a><\/p>\n NHL Predictions Methodology<\/p>\n Our NHL analysis combines the latest\u00a0team news, injury reports and\u00a0line changes\u00a0with recent form and market movement. We factor in\u00a0situational analysis\u00a0like home ice advantage and schedule spots. Metrics such as\u00a0Corsi, Fenwick, Expected Goals (xG) and\u00a0PDO\u00a0are used to evaluate\u00a0puck possession, shot quality, goaltending performance and special teams efficiency\u00a0beyond the traditional box score.<\/p>\n Full Methodology & Data Sources<\/a><\/p>\n Where to Bet<\/p>\n The betting site referenced has been independently reviewed under our published review methodology<\/a>, which evaluates betting lines, odds and market depth, licensing and security, payment processes, withdrawal reliability, responsible gambling tools and additional platform criteria relevant to user experience and regulatory standards.<\/p>\n \u00a0Read our\u00a0Thrill Analyst Review<\/a><\/p>\n Transparency & Safety<\/p>\n This preview was last updated on Apr 8, 20:56 to reflect the latest team news, injury reports, confirmed lines and pairings, starting goaltenders, lineup changes, schedule context, key performance metrics and odds movement.<\/p>\n All analysis is produced by professional analysts and reviewed by our Ice Hockey Editorial Betting Panel<\/a> for accuracy and consistency.<\/p>\n Historical performance for our game predictions is tracked and updated regularly for transparency.<\/p>\n \n Important: Betting should be treated as entertainment and involves risk. Past results are not indicative of future performance. Only wager what you can afford to lose.\n <\/p>\n \n 18+ (or legal age). If gambling is causing harm or distress, support is available. Visit our Gamble Responsibly<\/a> hub for safer gambling tools, self-exclusion options and local helplines.
\n Canadiens Moneyline @ -102
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\n Tampa Bay Lightning Stats<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
\n \t-1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games on the road<\/p>\n
\n \t+1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 home games<\/p>\n
\n \tGame Totals on the Road: An average of 7.70 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
\n\t\t\t\t\t \tOver 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
\n \tOver 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
\n \tTeam Totals: Have scored an average of 3.30 goals and allowed 3.30 goals in the last 10 games
\n \tTeam Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.80 pts and allowed 3.90 goals in the last 10 games on the road<\/p>\n
\n \tGame Totals at Home: An average of 6.00 goals in the previous 10 home games
\n \tOver 6.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
\n \tOver 6.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
\n \tTeam Totals: Have scored an average of 3.60 goals and allowed 2.00 goals in the last 10 games
\n \tTeam Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.50 goals and allowed 2.50 goals in the last 10 home games<\/p>\n
\n \tShots: 29.6
\n \tGoals Shorthanded: 0.1
\n \tPenalties: 5.4
\n \tEmpty Net Goals: 0.4
\n \tPenalty Minutes: 12.5
\n \tBlocks: 17
\n \tFaceoff Wins : 28.2
\n \tHits: 19.6
\n \tGiveaways: 15.4
\n \tTakeaways: 3.8 \t<\/p>\n
\n \tShots: 28.8
\n \tGoals Shorthanded: 0.2
\n \tPenalties: 5.1
\n \tEmpty Net Goals: 0.3
\n \tPenalty Minutes: 14.5
\n \tBlocks: 13.7
\n \tFaceoff Wins : 28.3
\n \tHits: 21.7
\n \tGiveaways: 15.3
\n \tTakeaways: 4.1 <\/p>\n
\n \tShots: 25.2
\n \tGoals Shorthanded: 0.1
\n \tPenalties: 4.3
\n \tEmpty Net Goals: 0.3
\n \tPenalty Minutes: 10.7
\n \tBlocks: 11.3
\n \tFaceoff Wins : 28
\n \tHits: 22.9
\n \tGiveaways: 12.9
\n \tTakeaways: 4.1 <\/p>\n
\n \tShots: 27.1
\n \tGoals Shorthanded: 0.1
\n \tPenalties: 3.2
\n \tEmpty Net Goals: 0.4
\n \tPenalty Minutes: 8.8
\n \tBlocks: 13.9
\n \tFaceoff Wins : 29.1
\n \tHits: 22.2
\n \tGiveaways: 13.7
\n \tTakeaways: 4.7 <\/p>\n
\n
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