{"id":549806,"date":"2026-04-10T21:12:52","date_gmt":"2026-04-10T21:12:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/549806\/"},"modified":"2026-04-10T21:12:52","modified_gmt":"2026-04-10T21:12:52","slug":"tampa-bay-lightning-vs-boston-bruins-prediction-picks-odds","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/549806\/","title":{"rendered":"Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins Prediction, Picks &#038; Odds"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>    NHL Betting Preview: Lightning vs Bruins<\/p>\n<p>The Tampa Bay Lightning go up against the Boston Bruins at TD Garden, with face-off scheduled for 09:30 on Saturday, April 11.<\/p>\n<p>Side With Bruins on the Moneyline<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019re heading to the Moneyline and our betting prediction is for the Bruins to win. They have a strong chance of beating the Lightning and the +102 makes plenty of appeal.<\/p>\n<p>Lightning Have 7 Wins in Previous 10 H2H Clashes<\/p>\n<p>Tampa Bay Lightning have been defeated in their previous four road games. They recently suffered a 2-1 loss against Montreal Canadiens at Bell Centre. Darren Raddysh bagged the only goal from just 18 Lightning shots.<\/p>\n<p>Boston Bruins have been beaten in their last four games. On the road at Lenovo Center, Carolina Hurricanes recently beat them 6-5 (OT). Morgan Geekie managed a hat trick, with Hampus Lindholm and Pavel Zacha also on the scoresheet. Goalie Joonas Korpisalo made a total of 16 saves (.941).<\/p>\n<p>Head-to-Head Statistics<\/p>\n<p>The Lightning had the edge in the most recent encounter between these teams. At Benchmark International Arena, they recorded a 3-1 win over the Bruins. The Lightning have enjoyed four consecutive victories against the Bruins. They\u2019ve landed 7 wins from the past 10 head-to-head meetings.<\/p>\n<p>                     Starting Goalies<\/p>\n<p>                             <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/285.png\" height=\"20\" width=\"20\" alt=\"\"\/><br \/>\n                             Andrei Vasilevskiy (Expected)<\/p>\n<p>                                Season<br \/>\n                                W-L-OTL:<br \/>\n                                GAA:<br \/>\n                                SV%:<br \/>\n                                SO:<\/p>\n<p>                                24\/25<br \/>\n                                37-15-4<br \/>\n                                2.3<br \/>\n                                .911<br \/>\n                                2<\/p>\n<p>                                23\/24<br \/>\n                                30-20-2<br \/>\n                                2.9<\/p>\n<p>.900<br \/>\n                                2<\/p>\n<p>                             <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/276.png\" height=\"20\" width=\"20\" alt=\"\"\/><br \/>\n                             Jeremy Swayman (Expected)<\/p>\n<p>                                Season<br \/>\n                                W-L-OTL:<br \/>\n                                GAA:<br \/>\n                                SV%:<br \/>\n                                SO:<\/p>\n<p>                                24\/25<br \/>\n                                30-17-4<br \/>\n                                2.8<br \/>\n                                .906<br \/>\n                                1<\/p>\n<p>                                23\/24<br \/>\n                                25-10-7<br \/>\n                                2.53<\/p>\n<p>.916<br \/>\n                                3<\/p>\n<p>            Tampa Bay Lightning \u2013 Last 10 Games<\/p>\n<p>5 wins, 4 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.1 goals from 27.9 shots on goal, with a 7.6% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have been giving up 3.1 goals from 25.5 shots, averaging 7.1 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 91.6%.<\/p>\n<p>Jake Guentzel is the top points scorer with 14 points, 6 goals and 8 assists, with Nikita Kucherov racking up 9 points, 3 goals and 6 assists, in the last 10 games. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 2.53 goal against average with a .894 save percentage.<\/p>\n<p>            Boston Bruins \u2013 Last 10 Games<\/p>\n<p>The Bruins have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.3 goals from 26.3 shots on goal, with a 16.2% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 3.1 goals from 29.8 shots, averaging 3.9 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 74.4%.<\/p>\n<p>The top points scorer is David Pastrnak with 15 points, 2 goals and 13 assists, while Pavel Zacha is next best after registering 13 points, 7 goals and 6 assists. Goalie Jeremy Swayman have a 3.09 GAA with a .903 SV%.<\/p>\n<p>    Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins Prediction &amp; Picks<\/p>\n<p>Our expert Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins betting tips include a main match prediction, a correct score pick and bet builder advice. Explore each section below for detailed insights.<\/p>\n<p>Game Prediction<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019re keeping our pick nice and simple by heading to the Moneyline. Take the +102 that Boston Bruins are able to secure a victory in this NHL encounter.<\/p>\n<p>We only publish our hockey predictions once we\u2019ve got a clear and confident read on team news and the latest form. We also stay sharp by digging into the most valuable NHL stats to support every pick we make.<\/p>\n<p>Key Lightning vs Bruins stats:<\/p>\n<p>            Bruins have won 16 of their last 20 games at home.Bruins have won 8 of their last 10 games at home.Bruins have won 2 consecutive games at home.Lightning have lost their last 4 games on the road.Lightning have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.Bruins Moneyline Probability<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsgambler.com\/betting-sites\/\" style=\"color: blue;font-weight: bold;\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">best sportsbooks<\/a> make it a 49.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our analysts think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. That means we\u2019re regarding it as a value bet.<\/p>\n<p>Looking for Bigger Odds?<\/p>\n<p>We recommend going down the Bet Builder route if you want to bet on the Moneyline and also throw in some other combinations until you\u2019re happy with the overall odds. <\/p>\n<p>Check out our latest <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsgambler.com\/betting-offers\/\" style=\"color: blue;font-weight: bold;\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">betting offers guide<\/a> \u2014 packed with top free bet deals and exclusive welcome bonuses.<\/p>\n<p>\n            Our Game Prediction\n        <\/p>\n<p>        <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsgambler.com\/betting-sites\/go\/thrill\/casino?utm_campaign=sgc\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" class=\"tpbot_tip\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n            Bruins Moneyline @ +102<br \/>\n        <\/a><br \/>\n        <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsgambler.com\/betting-sites\/go\/thrill\/casino?utm_campaign=sgc\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" class=\"tpbot_btns\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n             Watch Live<br \/>\n            Bet Now<br \/>\n            <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/3197-Thrill-370x100-dark.370x100.100.png.webp.jpeg\" alt=\"Thrill logo\"\/><br \/>\n        <\/a><\/p>\n<p>                <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/3197-Thrill-370x100-dark.370x100.100.png.webp.jpeg\" width=\"140\" height=\"38\" alt=\"Thrill logo\" loading=\"lazy\"\/><\/p>\n<p>                Thrill Promo<br \/>\n                70% Rakeback + 10% Cashback<br \/>\n                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsgambler.com\/betting-sites\/go\/thrill\/casino?utm_campaign=sgc\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" class=\"btn inline-flex justify-center align-center pulsate-bck\" style=\"background-color: #fff; color: #000;\" target=\"_blank\">Get Bonus<\/a><br \/>\n                T&amp;C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+<\/p>\n<p>        Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&amp;Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsgambler.com\/editorial-policy\/\" style=\"color: blue; font-weight: bold;\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Editorial Policy<\/a>. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 10, 13:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsgambler.com\/gamble-responsibly\/\" style=\"color: blue; font-weight: bold;\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Gamble Responsibly<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Published 13:56, 10 April 2026<\/p>\n<p>                Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins Odds<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-size: 12px;padding: 10px; background-color: #f2f5f6\">The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.<\/p>\n<p>Tight Affair in the Eyes of the Books<\/p>\n<p>There are betting odds of +102 that Boston Bruins land victory, with Tampa Bay Lightning alternatively at -122. In the eyes of the leading sportsbooks, the home team are regarded as 50% likely to claim a victory.<\/p>\n<p>The puck line is 1.5 and total goals is 6.5. A Totals bet relates to the number of goals that will be scored overall. If you&#8217;re keen on Over 6.5, this selection is available at +104.<\/p>\n<p>National Hockey League fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the wide range of team props and game lines which are available for every matchup on the coupon. Head to the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsgambler.com\/betting-sites\/app\/\" style=\"color: blue;font-weight: bold;\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">top betting apps<\/a> and find the best value wagers.<\/p>\n<p>Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&amp;Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.<\/p>\n<p>Team Stats<\/p>\n<p>Latest regular season and playoff games stats.<\/p>\n<p>                        <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/285.png\" height=\"90\"  alt=\"Tampa Bay Lightning logo\"\/><br \/>\n                        Tampa Bay Lightning Stats<\/p>\n<p>                            <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/276.png\" height=\"90\"  alt=\"Boston Bruins logo\"\/><\/p>\n<p>                         Boston Bruins Stats<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t            5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t            4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t            5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t            8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games<\/p>\n<p>                            \t-1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games<br \/>\n                            \t-1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games on the road<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t        \t+1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 games<br \/>\n                            \t+1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 home games<\/p>\n<p>                                Game Totals: An average of 6.20 goals in the previous 10 games<br \/>\n                            \tGame Totals on the Road: An average of 7.40 goals in the previous 10 games on the road<br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t        \tOver 6.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games<br \/>\n                            \tOver 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road<br \/>\n                            \tTeam Totals: Have scored an average of 3.10 goals and allowed 3.10 goals in the last 10 games<br \/>\n                            \tTeam Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.80 pts and allowed 3.60 goals in the last 10 games on the road<\/p>\n<p>                            Game Totals: An average of 6.50 goals in the previous 10 games<br \/>\n                            \tGame Totals at Home: An average of 6.20 goals in the previous 10 home games<br \/>\n                            \tOver 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games<br \/>\n                            \tOver 6.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games<br \/>\n                            \tTeam Totals: Have scored an average of 3.40 goals and allowed 3.10 goals in the last 10 games<br \/>\n                            \tTeam Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.90 goals and allowed 2.30 goals in the last 10 home games<\/p>\n<p>Last 10 Games<\/p>\n<p>                            \tGoals Powerplay: 0.5<br \/>\n                            \tShots: 27.9<br \/>\n                            \tGoals Shorthanded: 0.1<br \/>\n                            \tPenalties: 7.1<br \/>\n                            \tEmpty Net Goals: 0.4<br \/>\n                            \tPenalty Minutes: 19.6<br \/>\n                            \tBlocks: 16.3<br \/>\n                            \tFaceoff Wins : 27.6<br \/>\n                            \tHits: 20.9<br \/>\n                            \tGiveaways: 15.6<br \/>\n                            \tTakeaways: 3.7              \t<\/p>\n<p>Last 10 Games on the Road<\/p>\n<p>                                Goals Powerplay: 0.6<br \/>\n                            \tShots: 28.1<br \/>\n                            \tGoals Shorthanded: 0.2<br \/>\n                            \tPenalties: 6.2<br \/>\n                            \tEmpty Net Goals: 0.3<br \/>\n                            \tPenalty Minutes: 19.6<br \/>\n                            \tBlocks: 13<br \/>\n                            \tFaceoff Wins : 27.8<br \/>\n                            \tHits: 22.1<br \/>\n                            \tGiveaways: 16.3<br \/>\n                            \tTakeaways: 4.2    <\/p>\n<p>Last 10 Games<\/p>\n<p>                                Goals Powerplay: 0.6<br \/>\n                            \tShots: 26.3<br \/>\n                            \tGoals Shorthanded: 0<br \/>\n                            \tPenalties: 3.9<br \/>\n                            \tEmpty Net Goals: 0.4<br \/>\n                            \tPenalty Minutes: 9.3<br \/>\n                            \tBlocks: 13.6<br \/>\n                            \tFaceoff Wins : 33.9<br \/>\n                            \tHits: 20<br \/>\n                            \tGiveaways: 18.9<br \/>\n                            \tTakeaways: 3.5 <\/p>\n<p>Last 10 Home Games<\/p>\n<p>                            Goals Powerplay: 0.4<br \/>\n                            \tShots: 27.4<br \/>\n                            \tGoals Shorthanded: 0<br \/>\n                            \tPenalties: 3.6<br \/>\n                            \tEmpty Net Goals: 0.6<br \/>\n                            \tPenalty Minutes: 9.4<br \/>\n                            \tBlocks: 14.3<br \/>\n                            \tFaceoff Wins : 32.1<br \/>\n                            \tHits: 20.1<br \/>\n                            \tGiveaways: 17.6<br \/>\n                            \tTakeaways: 4.6 <\/p>\n<p>                Starting Lineups<\/p>\n<p>Both teams\u2019 confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.<\/p>\n<p>                Expert Analysis by Robert Carter<\/p>\n<p class=\"expert-subtitle italic margin-bottom-2\">NHL Analyst<\/p>\n<p>                About the Analyst<\/p>\n<p>Our ice hockey previews are produced by a specialised team of analysts, former odds compilers and sports journalists. Picks are research-driven and reviewed for accuracy and editorial consistency under the oversight of our hockey panel and Editor-in-Chief.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsgambler.com\/writers\/robert-carter\/\" class=\"expert-link inline-flex align-center relative\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">View Profile &amp; Track Record<\/a><\/p>\n<p>                NHL Predictions Methodology<\/p>\n<p>Our NHL analysis combines the latest\u00a0team news, injury reports and\u00a0line changes\u00a0with recent form and market movement. We factor in\u00a0situational analysis\u00a0like home ice advantage and schedule spots. Metrics such as\u00a0Corsi, Fenwick, Expected Goals (xG) and\u00a0PDO\u00a0are used to evaluate\u00a0puck possession, shot quality, goaltending performance and special teams efficiency\u00a0beyond the traditional box score.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsgambler.com\/how-picks-are-made\/\" class=\"expert-link inline-flex align-center relative\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Full Methodology &amp; Data Sources<\/a><\/p>\n<p>                Where to Bet<\/p>\n<p>The betting site referenced has been independently reviewed under our published <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsgambler.com\/review\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">review methodology<\/a>, which evaluates betting lines, odds and market depth, licensing and security, payment processes, withdrawal reliability, responsible gambling tools and additional platform criteria relevant to user experience and regulatory standards.<\/p>\n<p class=\"expert-link inline-flex align-center relative\">\u00a0Read our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsgambler.com\/review\/thrill\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Thrill Analyst Review<\/a><\/p>\n<p>                Transparency &amp; Safety<\/p>\n<p>This preview was last updated on Apr 10, 13:56 to reflect the latest team news, injury reports, confirmed lines and pairings, starting goaltenders, lineup changes, schedule context, key performance metrics and odds movement.<\/p>\n<p>All analysis is produced by professional analysts and reviewed by our <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsgambler.com\/writers\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Ice Hockey Editorial Betting Panel<\/a> for accuracy and consistency.<\/p>\n<p>Historical performance for our game predictions is tracked and updated regularly for transparency.<\/p>\n<p class=\"fs-300\">\n                        Important: Betting should be treated as entertainment and involves risk. Past results are not indicative of future performance. Only wager what you can afford to lose.\n                    <\/p>\n<p class=\"fs-300\">\n                        18+ (or legal age). If gambling is causing harm or distress, support is available. Visit our <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsgambler.com\/gamble-responsibly\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Gamble Responsibly<\/a> hub for safer gambling tools, self-exclusion options and local helplines.<br \/>\n                        <br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsgambler.com\/editorial-policy\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Editorial Policy<\/a> | <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsgambler.com\/disclaimer\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Disclaimer<\/a>\n                    <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"NHL Betting Preview: Lightning vs Bruins The Tampa Bay Lightning go up against the Boston Bruins at TD&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":327218,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5105],"tags":[5,189,4,540,92,5168,5167],"class_list":{"0":"post-549806","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-tampa-bay-lightning","8":"tag-hockey","9":"tag-lightning","10":"tag-nhl","11":"tag-tampa-bay","12":"tag-tampa-bay-lightning","13":"tag-tampabay","14":"tag-tampabaylightning"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nhl\/116382480791596682","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/549806","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=549806"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/549806\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/327218"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=549806"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=549806"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=549806"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}