{"id":555560,"date":"2026-04-18T22:00:59","date_gmt":"2026-04-18T22:00:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/555560\/"},"modified":"2026-04-18T22:00:59","modified_gmt":"2026-04-18T22:00:59","slug":"canadiens-vs-lightning-prediction-picks-odds-for-sundays-nhl-playoffs-game-1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/555560\/","title":{"rendered":"Canadiens vs Lightning Prediction, Picks &#038; Odds for Sunday\u2019s NHL Playoffs Game 1"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>                           <img decoding=\"async\" width=\"40\" height=\"40\" loading=\"eager\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/1776549658_61_237ab1be-c12d-4c1c-ac66-8090135574d4.png\" alt=\"Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com\"\/><\/p>\n<p>                        <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"covers-mini-logo\" src=\"https:\/\/img.covers.com\/covers\/icons\/global-icons\/covers-c-new.svg\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\" loading=\"eager\" fetchpriority=\"high\"\/><\/p>\n<p>                            <a href=\"https:\/\/www.covers.com\/writers\/todd-cordell\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Todd Cordell<\/a><br \/>\n                             \u2022 Betting Analyst<\/p>\n<p>                    12+ years betting experience<\/p>\n<p>\n            Updated:<br \/>\nApr 18, 2026 , 05:07 PM ET<\/p>\n<p>                \u2022 3 min read<\/p>\n<p class=\"covers-Articlemodern-cutLine\">Our NHL expert sees Juraj Slafkovsky continuing to give the Lightning fits on Sunday night.<\/p>\n<p>Photo By &#8211; Reuters Connect. Montreal Canadiens left wing Juraj Slafkovsky.<\/p>\n<p>Juraj Slafkovsky enjoyed a massive breakout season with Montreal, blowing past previous highs while producing 73 points over 82 games.<\/p>\n<p>He enjoyed a lot of success against Tampa Bay, and my Canadiens vs. Lightning predictions expect that to continue in the series opener.<\/p>\n<p>Let\u2019s dive into my <a href=\"https:\/\/www.covers.com\/picks\/nhl\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NHL picks<\/a> for Sunday, April 19.<\/p>\n<p>Canadiens vs Lightning Game 1 prediction<br \/>\nWho will win Canadiens vs Lightning Game 1?<\/p>\n<p>Lightning: Despite dealing with a ton of injuries all season long, they still won 50 games and finished 32 goals above Montreal in goal differential.\u00a0They have a better underlying profile, a battle-tested roster, and an advantage in goal. That should shine through.<\/p>\n<p>Canadiens vs Lightning best bet: Juraj Slafkovsky Over 0.5 points\u00a0(-145)<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.covers.com\/sport\/hockey\/nhl\/players\/249395\/juraj-slafkovsky\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Juraj Slafkovsky<\/a> had an excellent campaign altogether but was especially effective down the stretch, producing 28 points over 25 games following the Olympics.<\/p>\n<p>It wasn\u2019t as if Slafkovsky had a couple of ceiling performances exaggerate his numbers. He was remarkably consistent, hitting the scoresheet at least once in 18 games \u2014 good for a 74% clip.<\/p>\n<p>Slafkovsky faced the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.covers.com\/sport\/hockey\/nhl\/teams\/main\/tampa-bay-lightning\/odds\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Tampa Bay Lightning <\/a>twice during that stretch and produced multiple points in both meetings. That is nothing new for Slafkovsky, who has points in five of his last six against the Bolts.<\/p>\n<p>Look for Slafkovsky to make an impact in Game 1.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/preferences\/source?q=covers.com\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"googleLink border-0 bg-lighter rounded-2 py-2 px-3 d-flex gap-2 justify-content-between align-items-center mb-5\" data-linkcont=\"Article-Google-Preferences-Click\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/1776549659_690_google-preferred-source-badge.png\" width=\"102\" height=\"36\" alt=\"Add as a preferred source on Google\" loading=\"lazy\"\/><\/a>Canadiens vs Lightning Game 1 same-game parlay<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.covers.com\/sport\/hockey\/nhl\/players\/1710\/mike-matheson\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Mike Matheson<\/a> blocked multiple shots in 60% of his games this season, including the only game played without Noah Dobson. The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.covers.com\/sport\/hockey\/nhl\/teams\/main\/montreal-canadiens\/odds\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Montreal Canadiens<\/a> are likely to be even more reliant on the veteran defenseman with Dobson sidelined.<\/p>\n<p>More usage means more opportunities to block shots, especially against a strong shot-generation team like Tampa Bay.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.covers.com\/sport\/hockey\/nhl\/players\/307\/jake-guentzel\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Jake Guentzel<\/a> has 43 goals and 73 points through 74 games, always rising to the occasion when the games matter most. He also has points in eight of his last 10 against Montreal, making him a prime target in this matchup.<\/p>\n<p>Canadiens vs Lightning SGP<\/p>\n<p>Juraj Slafkovsky Over 0.5 points<br \/>\nMike Matheson Over 1.5 blocked shots<br \/>\nJake Guentzel Over 0.5 points<\/p>\n<p>Canadiens vs Lightning Game 1 goal scorer pick<br \/>\nNikita Kucherov (+130)<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.covers.com\/sport\/hockey\/nhl\/players\/1364\/nikita-kucherov\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Nikita Kucherov<\/a> hasn\u2019t scored in back-to-back playoff series, but a steady dose of Aleksander Barkov and Gustav Forsling certainly had a lot to do with it.<\/p>\n<p>The Canadiens don\u2019t have true shutdown personnel \u2014 particularly on the backend \u2014 of that level, and head coach Jon Cooper also controls the matchups. That should result in less time against Selke candidate Nick Suzuki, which would help Kucherov\u2019s cause.<\/p>\n<p>Look for Kucherov to put his recent postseason struggles behind him.<\/p>\n<p>Canadiens vs Lightning odds for Game 1<\/p>\n<p>Moneyline: Montreal +155 | Tampa Bay -180<br \/>\nPuck line: Montreal +1.5 (-155) | Tampa Bay -1.5 (+135)<br \/>\nOver\/Under: Over 6.5 (+115) | Under 6.5 (-135)<\/p>\n<p>Canadiens vs Lightning trend<\/p>\n<p>Juraj Slafkovsky has produced nine points over his last six games against Tampa Bay. Find more\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.covers.com\/sport\/hockey\/nhl\/matchup\/377393\/picks#trends\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NHL betting trends<\/a> for Canadiens vs. Lightning.<\/p>\n<p>How to watch Canadiens vs Lightning Game 1<\/p>\n<p>Location<br \/>\nBenchmark International Arena, Tampa, FL<\/p>\n<p>Date<br \/>\nSunday, April 19, 2026<\/p>\n<p>Puck drop<br \/>\n5:45 p.m. ET<\/p>\n<p>TV<br \/>\nTNT, truTV, CBC<\/p>\n<p>Canadiens vs Lightning latest injuries<\/p>\n<p> Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.<br \/>Not intended for use in MA.<br \/>Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.<\/p>\n<p>        Pages related to this topic<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Todd Cordell \u2022 Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience Updated: Apr 18, 2026 , 05:07 PM ET \u2022&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":555561,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5105],"tags":[5,189,4,540,92,5168,5167],"class_list":{"0":"post-555560","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-tampa-bay-lightning","8":"tag-hockey","9":"tag-lightning","10":"tag-nhl","11":"tag-tampa-bay","12":"tag-tampa-bay-lightning","13":"tag-tampabay","14":"tag-tampabaylightning"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nhl\/116427968807489154","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/555560","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=555560"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/555560\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/555561"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=555560"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=555560"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=555560"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}