{"id":557942,"date":"2026-04-22T12:45:13","date_gmt":"2026-04-22T12:45:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/557942\/"},"modified":"2026-04-22T12:45:13","modified_gmt":"2026-04-22T12:45:13","slug":"2026-stanley-cup-playoff-predictions-game-2-ducks-vs-oilers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/557942\/","title":{"rendered":"2026 Stanley Cup Playoff Predictions, Game 2: Ducks vs Oilers"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Welcome back to NHL Stanley Cup Playoff Predictions. Each day, writers here at Last Word On Hockey take a look at the slate of games and predict the outcome. This and other series can be found in the NHL Predictions section. In this edition of Stanley Cup Playoff Predictions, we shift to Game 2 of this first round Western Conference matchup as the Anaheim Ducks look to respond against the Edmonton Oilers after a narrow Game 1 loss.<\/p>\n<p>Stanley Cup Playoff Predictions: Anaheim Ducks vs Edmonton Oilers Game 2<\/p>\n<p>Series: EDM leads 1-0<\/p>\n<p>Time: 10:10 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time | 7:10 p.m. Pacific Daylight Time<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/full-guide-for-how-to-stream-and-watch-nhl-hockey-games\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">How to Watch<\/a> \u2013 US TV: TBS, HBO Max, Victory+, KCOP-13 | Canada TV: CBC, SN, TVAS, SN+<\/p>\n<p>Location: Rogers Place, Edmonton, Alberta<\/p>\n<p>Setting the Stage<\/p>\n<p>Credit Image: \u00a9 Peter Joneleit\/Cal Sport Media<\/p>\n<p>The Anaheim Ducks enter Game 2 down 1\u20130 in <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/2026\/04\/20\/2026-stanley-cup-playoffs-western-conference-first-round-preview-anaheim-ducks-edmonton-oilers\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">the series<\/a> after a 4\u20133 loss that felt far closer than expected. Meanwhile, the Edmonton Oilers secured the win, but not in their usual fashion.<\/p>\n<p>However, <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/2026\/04\/20\/2026-nhl-stanley-cup-playoff-predictions-ducks-vs-oilers-game-1\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Game 1<\/a> told a more nuanced story. Anaheim generated offence, dictated stretches at five-on-five, and most importantly held <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/m\/mcdavco01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-04-21_hr\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Connor McDavid<\/a> off the scoresheet. That combination typically leads to wins. Instead, the Ducks left the door open. Furthermore, their third-period approach shifted noticeably as they sat back protecting the lead, allowing Edmonton to regain control. That adjustment proved costly.<\/p>\n<p>Ultimately, Game 2 now carries a different tone. Anaheim is no longer trying to prove it belongs. Instead, it must prove it can close.<\/p>\n<p>Anaheim Ducks Storylines<\/p>\n<p>The Ducks executed large parts of their game plan in Game 1. They pushed pace, generated chances, and received high-end production from their top players. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/t\/terrytr01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-04-21_hr\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Troy Terry<\/a> led the way with three points, reinforcing his importance in this series.<\/p>\n<p>Power play goal for Anaheim!Scored by Troy Terry with 05:31 remaining in the 2nd period.Assisted by John Carlson and Mikael Granlund.Edmonton: 2Anaheim: 3#ANAvsEDM #LetsGoOilers #FlyTogether  <\/p>\n<p>\u2014 <a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/did:plc:hgs2eihs5wz2wqp647f5ox74?ref_src=embed\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">NHL Goals (@nhlgoals.bsky.social)<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/did:plc:hgs2eihs5wz2wqp647f5ox74\/post\/3mjy47zwdi32k?ref_src=embed\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">2026-04-21T04:06:59.525133Z<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/c\/carlsle01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-04-21_hr\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Leo Carlsson<\/a> continued to drive offence at an elite level. He recorded double-digit shots in Game 1, which almost feels excessive to even write. However, the underlying takeaway remains clear. His volume is real, repeatable, and central to Anaheim\u2019s attack.<\/p>\n<p>However, Anaheim\u2019s issue was situational. Once ahead, they drifted away from their identity. Rather than continuing to pressure, they allowed Edmonton to dictate play late.<\/p>\n<p>Furthermore, goaltending remains a swing factor. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/d\/dostalu01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-04-21_hr\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Lukas Dostal<\/a> was solid but not game-stealing. Against a team like Edmonton, that margin matters.<\/p>\n<p>If Anaheim wants to even the series, the formula does not change. However, the execution must.<\/p>\n<p>Edmonton Oilers Storylines<\/p>\n<p>The Oilers won Game 1 without their biggest weapon fully firing. Connor McDavid did not record a point, marking the first time all season Edmonton won a game without him contributing offensively. That is unlikely to happen again.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, Edmonton\u2019s depth stepped up in meaningful ways. Secondary scoring and contributions from across the lineup helped offset a quieter night from their stars.<\/p>\n<p>However, the bigger story remains structural. The Oilers stayed patient, leaned on their systems, and capitalized when Anaheim pulled back. That ability to control momentum late is a defining trait.<\/p>\n<p>Additionally, Edmonton will be without <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/h\/henriad01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-04-21_hr\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Adam Henrique<\/a> in Game 2 due to a lower-body injury. While not a top-line player, his absence impacts depth and faceoff versatility.<\/p>\n<p>Furthermore, <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.hockey-reference.com\/players\/d\/draisle01.html?utm_medium=linker&amp;utm_source=lastwordonsports.com&amp;utm_campaign=2026-04-21_hr\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Leon Draisaitl<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/hockey\/2026\/04\/20\/edmonton-oilers-star-back-for-game-1-vs-anaheim-ducks\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">returned to the lineup<\/a> in Game 1 and immediately made his presence felt, with no moment more tangible than his power-skill zone entry that set up the game-winning goal. That is the kind of game-breaking play a player of his calibre is capable of.<\/p>\n<p>Edmonton goal!Scored by Kasperi Kapanen with 01:54 remaining in the 3rd period.Assisted by Vasily Podkolzin and Leon Draisaitl.Edmonton: 4Anaheim: 3#ANAvsEDM #LetsGoOilers #FlyTogether  <\/p>\n<p>\u2014 <a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/did:plc:hgs2eihs5wz2wqp647f5ox74?ref_src=embed\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">NHL Goals (@nhlgoals.bsky.social)<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/did:plc:hgs2eihs5wz2wqp647f5ox74\/post\/3mjy7bpatku2r?ref_src=embed\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">2026-04-21T05:01:36.850246Z<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Ultimately, the Oilers still hold the advantage. And now, they have already shown they can win in multiple ways.<\/p>\n<p>The Model<\/p>\n<p>The blended model incorporates projections from the in-house model, MoneyPuck, HockeyStats, and market odds with vig removed. Each component is weighted evenly to generate a final probability and corresponding fair odds.<\/p>\n<p>The in-house model continues to favour Edmonton due to superior finishing profiles and a clear special teams edge. Meanwhile, <a href=\"https:\/\/moneypuck.com\/preview.htm?id=2025030182\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">MoneyPuck<\/a> projects the Oilers around 61 percent for Game 2.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/hockeystats.com\/games\/2025030182\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">HockeyStats<\/a> aligns closely, again showing Edmonton with a stronger expected goal output driven by power play efficiency and sustained offensive pressure.<\/p>\n<p>After removing market vig from the -190 range and blending all inputs, Edmonton lands between 60 and 62 percent. Fair odds project closer to -150 to -155, indicating the market remains slightly inflated.<\/p>\n<p>Ultimately, the model shows consistency. Game 1 did not change the underlying edge.<\/p>\n<p>Stanley Cup Playoff Prediction<\/p>\n<p>Anaheim showed it can compete in this series. However, it also may have missed a golden opportunity.<\/p>\n<p>Holding Connor McDavid off the scoresheet and still losing is not a formula that tends to repeat in a favourable direction. Meanwhile, Edmonton\u2019s ability to stay composed and capitalize late suggests a team that understands how to manage playoff moments.<\/p>\n<p>Furthermore, if the Oilers receive even average production from their top players, the balance tilts further.<\/p>\n<p>Prediction: Edmonton Oilers win 4\u20133 (Model Probability: ~61%)<\/p>\n<p>Stanley Cup Playoff Prediction Record: 1\u20130<\/p>\n<p>Prop Bets of the Night<\/p>\n<p>Leo Carlsson over 2.5 shots (-130) remains the most stable angle in this matchup. After putting up ten shots in Game 1, the number almost feels disrespectfully low at this point. His role and usage continue to support consistent volume.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, Connor McDavid to score a goal (-150) presents a clear bounce-back opportunity. A player of his calibre rarely goes quiet in consecutive playoff games, especially after a win where he was not involved.<\/p>\n<p>Additionally, Troy Terry to record a point (-140) remains viable given his chemistry and usage in high-event situations. He proved in Game 1 that he can exploit this matchup.<\/p>\n<p>Stanley Cup Playoff Betting Record: 2\u20131 (+0.64 units)<\/p>\n<p>All line combinations and goaltenders are subject to change. Always check team reports prior to puck drop.<\/p>\n<p>If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Please bet responsibly.<\/p>\n<p>Main photo: Perry Nelson-Imagn Images<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Welcome back to NHL Stanley Cup Playoff Predictions. Each day, writers here at Last Word On Hockey take&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":557943,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5123],"tags":[20557,1586,2210,233,30596,5292,1739,369,5,370,4],"class_list":{"0":"post-557942","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-anaheim-ducks","8":"tag-2026-stanley-cup-playoffs","9":"tag-adam-henrique","10":"tag-anaheim","11":"tag-anaheim-ducks","12":"tag-anaheim-ducks-predictions","13":"tag-anaheimducks","14":"tag-ducks","15":"tag-edmonton-oilers-predictions","16":"tag-hockey","17":"tag-leon-draisaitl","18":"tag-nhl"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nhl\/116448429637570411","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/557942","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=557942"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/557942\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/557943"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=557942"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=557942"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=557942"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}