{"id":579158,"date":"2026-05-20T03:03:12","date_gmt":"2026-05-20T03:03:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/579158\/"},"modified":"2026-05-20T03:03:12","modified_gmt":"2026-05-20T03:03:12","slug":"another-mock-draft-has-potential-first-overall-pick-falling-to-blackhawks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/579158\/","title":{"rendered":"Another Mock Draft Has Potential First Overall Pick Falling To Blackhawks"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>With just over five weeks remaining until the 2026 NHL Draft, there continue to be varying opinions on how the top of the board will shake out on Jun. 26 at KeyBank Center in Buffalo, New York.<\/p>\n<p>The Chicago Blackhawks hold the rights to the fourth overall pick, and the player they select will largely be determined by what the Toronto Maple Leafs, San Jose Sharks, and Vancouver Canucks do ahead of them.<\/p>\n<p>At this stage, the expectation is for the Maple Leafs to draft winger Gavin McKenna with the No. 1 pick, but there are still some who believe Swedish forward Ivar Stenberg is in the mix. Last Friday, Sportsnet\u2019s Jason Bukala ranked the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsnet.ca\/nhl\/article\/scouts-analysis-ranking-the-top-45-prospects-for-the-nhl-draft\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">top 45 prospects<\/a> in the 2026 Draft Class, and Stenberg was at the top of his list, ahead of McKenna.<\/p>\n<p>Compared to most top draft scouts and analysts, Stenberg being ahead of McKenna is the minority opinion. The Leafs will likely end up choosing McKenna when it\u2019s all said and done, but Stenberg\u2019s more balanced skillset and higher floor make for an intriguing debate.<\/p>\n<p>Playing in the top professional league in Sweden this season, Stenberg thrived against grown men as an 18-year-old, recording 33 points (11G, 22A) in 43 appearances for Frolunda. His 0.77 points-per-game margin is the second-highest in SHL history among draft-eligible skaters, ahead of notables like Peter Forsberg, Henrik Sedin, and Leo Carlsson, and trailing only Daniel Sedin. <\/p>\n<p>Stenberg might not possess as much upside as McKenna, but he\u2019s an elite offensive talent in his own right. Between the two, he\u2019s also the far more impactful and engaged defender, and there\u2019s fewer questions about his game without the puck. Like most talented Swedish prospects coming through the country\u2019s system these days, Stenberg doesn\u2019t cheat for offense and makes a concerted effort defensively. He\u2019s the more polished and well-rounded prospect, but that likely won\u2019t be enough for him to leapfrog McKenna and become the top overall selection.<\/p>\n<p>The more legitimate discussion is what San Jose will do once they are on the clock with the second overall pick. That decision will swing what transpires in the picks that follow, especially for the Blackhawks. Will Sharks\u2019 GM Mike Grier add yet another uber-talented forward in Stenberg, or potentially Caleb Malhotra, to place alongside Macklin Celebrini, Michael Misa, and Will Smith? Or does he address his teams\u2019 thin defensive pipeline with one of Chase Reid, Carson Carels, Keaton Verhoeff, or Albert Smits?<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s the question everyone is seeking the answer to, including those in the industry who are releasing mock drafts this time of year. Since the results of the 2026 NHL Draft Lottery two weeks ago, notables like Chris Peters (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.flohockey.tv\/articles\/15882080-nhl-mock-draft-2026-caleb-malhotra-chase-reid-go-early-but-whos-no-1\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">FloHockey<\/a>), Craig Button (<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/TSN_Sports\/status\/2051843394591220156?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E2051843394591220156%7Ctwgr%5E9ec05956860490665eddaa1abf78469fa76c491d%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&amp;ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fchicagohockeynow.com%2Fcould-chicago-blackhawks-still-land-stenberg-in-2026-nhl-draft%2F\" rel=\"nofollow\">TSN<\/a>), Steven Ellis (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailyfaceoff.com\/news\/2026-nhl-mock-draft-post-draft-lottery-top-32-first-round-may-mckenna-vancouver-canucks\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Daily Faceoff<\/a>), Cam Robinson (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.eliteprospects.com\/news\/2026-nhl-draft\/elite-prospects-post-lottery-2026-nhl-mock-draft\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Elite Prospects<\/a>), and Sam Costentino (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsnet.ca\/nhl\/article\/nhl-top-16-mock-draft-who-will-the-leafs-pick-no-1-overall\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sportsnet<\/a>) have each posted their respective mock drafts, projecting how the first round will sort out in late June.<\/p>\n<p>Each of those five mock drafts had Toronto taking McKenna first overall, while Peters, Button, Robinson, and Cosentino all had San Jose selecting a defenseman with the second pick. Ellis was the only one of the bunch projecting the Sharks to draft Stenberg at No. 2. It\u2019s also worth pointing out that all five had the Vancouver Canucks picking Caleb Malhotra with the third overall selection.<\/p>\n<p>Well, another mock draft was released on Tuesday morning from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7282317\/2026\/05\/19\/nhl-mock-draft-2026-picks-2-rounds\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">The Athletic<\/a>\u2018s Scott Wheeler and Corey Pronman, who put their heads together to predict all 63 picks in the first two rounds. In similar fashion to the mock drafts mentioned above, Wheeler and Pronman had Toronto taking McKenna first, the Sharks going with Reid, a defenseman, second, and the Canucks choosing Caleb Malhotra third. Once again, the Blackhawks were left with Stenberg falling into their lap.<\/p>\n<p>The decision won\u2019t be an easy one for Grier and the Sharks, but Wheeler and Pronman predict Reid ultimately winds up being their choice at No. 2. Pronman specifically mentioned Stenberg as an intriguing option, but securing a potential top-pairing defenseman is too essential for San Jose\u2019s rebuild.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe Sharks get a foundational defense piece they\u2019ve needed throughout their rebuild, as Reid projects to run a power play and log a lot of minutes in the NHL,\u201d Pronman wrote. \u201cIvar Stenberg is tempting here, but the stars feel like they would align too well for the Sharks and Reid, given how close the two players are in talent.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Wheeler and Pronman continued the trend with Malhotra being the choice over Stenberg for Vancouver. Pronman noted Malhotra\u2019s local ties and mentioned him potentially becoming the Canucks\u2019 future captain.<\/p>\n<p>With Stenberg still available at No. 4, as he\u2019s been in a vast majority of mock drafts released so far, GM Kyle Davidson and the Blackhawks are ecstatic to add another high-end forward to their prospect pool. Chicago\u2019s future up front would be absurdly talented, with a group that includes Connor Bedard, Anton Frondell, Frank Nazar, Roman Kantserov, Oliver Moore, and Stenberg.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cChicago adds the most dynamic player left on the board in Stenberg, a potential top-line winger with a high compete level, even if it makes its core forward group a bit on the smaller side,\u201d Pronman wrote.<\/p>\n<p>Yes, adding Stenberg gives the Blackhawks yet another undersized forward inside their top six long term, but there\u2019s no chance they\u2019d even consider passing on him if he\u2019s still available. Giving Bedard and Co. more support is the top priority, and Davidson checks that box by picking Stenberg.<\/p>\n<p>As a reminder, mock drafts must be taken with a grain of salt this time of year. What one certain analyst, writer, or scout believes does not necessarily mean that\u2019s what will happen come Jun. 26. However, there\u2019s no denying that Stenberg falling to the Blackhawks with the fourth pick has a better chance than initially anticipated following the results from the NHL Draft Lottery.<\/p>\n<p>For more Blackhawks news, visit <a href=\"https:\/\/chicagohockeynow.com\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Chicago Hockey Now<\/a> and like our <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/chicagohockeynow\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Facebook Page<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Follow us on X:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/chihockeynow\" rel=\"nofollow\">@chihockeynow<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/JackBushman2\" rel=\"nofollow\">@JackBushman2<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"With just over five weeks remaining until the 2026 NHL Draft, there continue to be varying opinions on&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":579159,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5115],"tags":[7704,521,63782,37,96,5263,5,629,4,64588],"class_list":["post-579158","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-chicago-blackhawks","tag-2026-nhl-draft","tag-blackhawks","tag-blackhawks-2026-nhl-draft","tag-chicago","tag-chicago-blackhawks","tag-chicagoblackhawks","tag-hockey","tag-ivar-stenberg","tag-nhl","tag-stenberg-blackhawks"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nhl\/116604685786626551","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/579158","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=579158"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/579158\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/579159"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=579158"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=579158"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nhl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=579158"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}