Cards were 34-19 (.641 win%) last yr when the SP went 6+ IP & allowed 4 or fewer ER. They were 37-72 when they did not meet that criteria (.307 win%). Lance Lynn & Kyle Gibson combined to throw 6+ innings & allowed 4 or fewer ER 33 times last yr.

4 comments

1. I don’t think people realize how badly the 5 (or less) and dive at the back end of the rotation effected us. It destroyed the bullpen which forced other starters to make up for those unavailable bullpen arms. The trickle down of not having enough innings hurt everybody on the staff.

   Having 2 guys who can consistently go deep is huge for us not just on the 3-4-5 starter days but also on the 1-2 days when Gray can only go 6 and needs 3 solid from the bullpen.

2. 33 times is almost exactly half of their combined starts (65). So the other half the Cards will theoretically be .307. if you extrapolate that out you can expect them to have a combined .477 win%

3. we would have had the second best record in baseball if we had won at that pace all season

4. Yeah if we can leave Lynn and Gibson in for 6 or 7 inning being down 5-2 we should be fine.