@@Portland Trail Blazers

Scoot Henderson’s TS% for first halves is 49.8. Scoot Henderson’s TS% for second halves is 41.3.

  • January 25, 2024


Something I’ve noticed is that Scoot will appear to have turned a corner with his efficiency in the first half of game and then routinely drop in efficiency the second half. His TS% is, in fact, 8.5 percent lower in second halves. To illustrate 8.5 percent is the difference between perpetual MVP candidate Jokic (66%) and fringe, maybe All-Star this year Scottie Barnes (57.5%). I’m really not sure why there is such a drop.

Before anyone asks, first half TS% league-wide is 57.9 and second half is actually 58.5.

https://www.statmuse.com/nba/ask/scoot-henderson-first-half-true-shooting

https://www.statmuse.com/nba/ask/scoot-henderson-second-half-true-shooting

https://www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_2024_advanced.html#advanced_stats::ts_pct

https://www.statmuse.com/nba/ask/league-true-shooting-percentage-in-first-half-of-games

https://www.statmuse.com/nba/ask/league-true-shooting-percentage-in-second-half-of-games

6 comments

  1. I also like to analyze every second of my 19-year-old rookie point guards minutes, so that I might find patterns and be able to deduce how good he might actually be.

  2. This is pretty interesting, could definitely just be a fluke due to small sample sizes. I’d wonder if the game where he took 30+ shots at pretty poor efficiency could be skewing this, or if there are other similar performances. Probably nothing, but I’d be interested to see if the trend continues throughout the rest of the year

  3. My guess is that this is at least partially due to the team being behind so often and Scoot forcing shots in the 2nd half.

  5. I would bet that this is more to do with NBA conditioning than it is to do with skill. You can be in great physical shape, but putting up shot after shot when you’ve already played 10 minutes is a lot tougher. I’ve been taking martial arts and boxing classes and throwing a punch at the start of a session is a LOT easier than throwing one at the end of a session. I think this is why so many good NBA players use boxing to train during the off season. In fact, Jabari spoke about how much it has helped him make the sophomore jump he’s made this year.

  6. Good call out. Pulled up his first half vs second half shooting stats to see what I could find:

    H1

    1.1/2.2 < 5 feet (50%)

    .4/.6 15-19 (66%)

    H2

    .9/2.3 < 5 feet (39%)

    .1/.5 15-19 (11%)

    He’s down across the board, but those are the biggest differences. He’s not finishing in the paint nor his middy as well in the 2nd half.

    Source: [https://www.nba.com/stats/players/shooting?PlayerPosition=G&TeamID=1610612757&GameSegment=Second+Half](https://www.nba.com/stats/players/shooting?PlayerPosition=G&TeamID=1610612757&GameSegment=Second+Half)

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