Hmmm interesting🤔 Pretty good FG% for a guy whose not clutch

5 comments

1. Clutch time discussion is just flawed in general. I think that people forget that sample size is important and the lower the sample, the higher the variability, (i.e. the less likely you are going to have accurate data).

   That one video of Tatum missing all those fadeaways is funny, but it’s not particularly damning. It was a grand total of 37 shots of a specific type over the course of 3 years. That alone should tell you one thing: the thing people think happens all the damn time, happens a grand total of like 12 times per year, (regular season and playoffs if I remember correctly). Many of those games, we won.

   I think it’s more helpful to look at 4th quarters in general…and Tatum isn’t doing so hot this year. He has a 47% EFG% in the 4th and a 55% TS% in the 4th. The good news is that he’s typically been pretty good in 4th quarters throughout his career.

2. But my recency bias!

3. No shit. Now look at this season in isolation

4. The fact that horford and smart are ahead of Brown in volume on this list is troubling

5. You know the problem is how we define clutch. Put the data as to last second buzzer beater , Kobe style and that’s where you see many misses. Beside that seems like he is making those shots