"8. Falcons — top-100 picks: 43, 74, 79 — would require ATL to be zeroed in on one player and for Carthon to convince them that he was otherwise going to trade the pick to someone else who covets the same player. Possible, but unlikely.
Bears — top-100 picks: 75 — 7 for 9 and 75 would be a fair deal but CHI only has four total picks in this draft. Would they be willing to part with one to move up two spots?
Jets — top-100 picks: 72 — again, like the Bears, the Jets don’t have a 2nd rounder and generally have limited assets in this draft, though they do have two 4th round picks. 7 for 10 and 72 is almost exactly even on the Jimmy Johnson trade value chart.
Vikings — top-100 picks: 23 — MIN already loaded up to acquire a second 1st rounder as they are clearly trying to make a move for a QB. It’s possible that they get desperate if none of the top-6 are willing to move down and their guy remains on the board at 7. I think that possibly the more likely scenario is MIN trades up into the top-6 and whoever swapped with them considers targeting 7 as a spot to move back up for the guy they wanted anyway. A spot to watch for sure. 11 and 23 for 7 would be a massive overpay, but we’ve seen desperate teams do dumber things I suppose.
Broncos — top-100 picks: 76 — again, no 2nd rounder, which at this point makes it pretty hard for me to see the Titans biting on a trade back this far without at least a 2nd coming back. Maybe this is a team desperate enough to move their 2025 1st in a package for their QB?
Raiders — top-100 picks: 44, 77 — among the more likely trade partners for the Titans. We know they’ve already called to gauge pricing for moving up to 7, again, likely for a QB. They have two top-100 picks that could give the Titans some real ammo to fill needs with real prospects at multiple positions in this draft. 7 for 13 and 44 is slightly in the Titans favor on the JJ chart, but when a QB is the target, the price is usually a bit inflated so getting 13, 44, AND 77 wouldn’t be completely out of the question if Vegas is motivated.
Saints — top-100 picks: 45 — no 3rd rounder makes this tougher. 7 for 14 and 45 is pretty even on the trade chart. NO’s next selection after 45 isn’t until 150 though, so that’s a long wait if they make a move up.
To me, that’s the range that I’d want to stay in if I was Carthon. Among this group it feels to me like the Jets, Raiders, Saints are the most logical fits because of the assets they have available to trade. However, the dream scenario is hoping the Vikings get shut out of the top-6 and panic."
4 comments
I don’t think we should get cute and just draft Alt or Fashanu. One of them should be there at 7. We’ll get a WR next year.
Burks and Philips might actually contribute in this new offense.
Don’t really want to trade back. One of Nabers, Alt, or Odunze should be there at our pick and they’re all blue chip players.
This is a good reference for everyone discussing trade back options. Personally, I’d stay put unless Alt, Olu, and Nabers are gone. If not, we’ll, this tweet lays out some possibilities.
I wish we would stop using the Jimmy Johnson chart.
In an era of the rookie wage scale, it simply no longer captures all of the necessary factors that go into a trade. It’s not a bad chart, merely outdated. Jason Fitzgerald and Brad Speilberger did one a few years back that is a little bit more representative of where we are now.
And sure, no pure points-based system truly can, but the article does mention the inflation of price for a quarterback, a valuable component in the conversation of value and price control.