@@New Jersey Devils

#TeamTank Nightly Preview – April 4

  • April 4, 2024


Removing #TeamMiracle since it's all but over now. I'll add it back for the last 2 games if we win like 4 in a row and everyone else around us loses a ton.

All things considered that was at least a super interesting one to go out on.

I'll try to spend some time adding lottery calculations too. The 10 spot jump makes it annoying to math out tho.

At the moment it can all be found here tho:

https://www.tankathon.com/nhl/pick_odds

#TeamTank

Projected Draft Seed: 23.4

Projected OA Pick (Ignoring Lottery Odds): 10

Big Games

Deltas here represent change to Projected Draft Seed

GameScoreHome WinHome OT WinHome SO WinAway WinAway OT WinAway SO Win
Jets vs Flames —-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Capitals vs Penguins —-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Credit to www.sportsclubstats.com for the data.

9 comments

  2. We got a realistic chance to finish 8th last with hour tough our schedule is, 6th would require a miracle. We got Ottawa next after which we have Nashville on the second half of a back-to-back, then Toronto twice and finally Islanders and Philly to end the season. I think we at best win three with 2-4-0 being the likely outcome on that stretch.

  3. It has devolved to just hoping that certain individual players do well until the end of the season.

  4. Whelp, now it’s full team tank time.

    Assuming we flip this pick for a stud goalie, it may be worth the pain of this season

  5. I’m not sold we have that great of a prospect pool anymore..not much besides Casey, grislek…I worry that we don’t have enough quality bodies to make trades we need

  7. Hypothetical fairy land thoughts here, what do we think if we miraculously won the lottery again, about the following potential options for trading down:

    Anaheim, Montreal, Ottawa, Calgary all have 2 first round picks, with all their own original picks being relatively high as well.

    Taking both picks from one of those teams, plus something else (young player or another future pick).

    Then flipping the worse of the 2 picks this year with a package for saros or another A tier goalie, and still having a top 4-10 pick to use this year.

    Disregarding the rabble of “don’t trade down from 1oa rahhh best player available,” which package HYPOTHETICALLY intrigues you the most? What addition to that package swings the trade to acceptable?

    EDIT: Chicago, Philly, and maybe San Jose also have multiple firsts. Fuck Philly though, not them even hypothetically.

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