[Lewenberg] The Raptors are about to be locked into the 6th-worst record. They’ll have a 45.8% chance of keeping their pick, 37.2% chance of moving into top-4 & 9% shot at landing the 1st pick. If it falls out of the top-6 (54.2% chance) the pick will go to San Antonio, via the Poeltl trade.

15 comments

1. All this “tanking” and we have a higher chance of losing the pick than keeping it…

2. Now we pray

   

3. release the ~~kraken~~ Scottie Barnes

4. would rather have it convey this season honestly. the 12th pick in next year’s draft is just as good as the 6th pick in this year’s draft.

5. LeBronto, here we come boys!

6. We should fall out. This is a weak draft year. Burn this one, get a better one next year.

7. Doesn’t matter all that much. But if we lose it you can count on 3/4 of this sub bitching and moaning and then guaranteeing we would have had the best player in the draft at #6 even after he goes 25th overall.

8. Spurs gonna get a sick pick

9. We’re going to win the lottery, and then Masai and Bobby are going to draft another ROY and star to pair with Scottie, that’s just what’s going to happen

10. I’d rather the pick this year, because I have a hard time believing the potential roster for next year will do worse than this year.

11. Honestly not a bad spot to be in. The most likely scenarios are we get a top 4 pick in this years draft, or we lose it and get to keep our pick in a better draft year.

12. Darkest timeline:

    – Pacers lose both play-in games and enter the lottery
    – They hit the 1% chance to get the First Pick
    – Raptors lose that pick as it’s top 3 protected
    – Pacers being first pushes everyone down, Raptors now get the 7th pick
    – Raptors end with no FRP this season

13. 8th best in a shit draft or no pick … fine.

    Top 5 or bust.

14. Anyone else also excited to see what San Antonio does with the pick if it’s 7 ? I’ll be happy either way tbh

15. We need this #1 pick.