I don't wanna dogpile but I was curious, so I did these stats last night before bed, source was Statmuse – so I'd love for someone to check the accuracy.
Georgiev has a .891% SV% against the current playoff teams this year.
I added Hellebuyck well because we're facing him and I was curious how much if any drop off he'd have against the same teams, as it seems natural it may occur. He dropped from .922 on the season to .920 against these teams.
Even more disturbing is Georgiev's .891% is bolstered by 3 great games against the Kings, all of which were before February. If we took out the Kings games he goes down to .886 SV% against the current playoff teams
Here's the stats with the Kings games removed.. in fairness I removed the Oilers (Hellebuyk's most impactful positive one) Kings Removed and while Georgie goes down to .886, Hellebuyck only drops to .918 with his most impactful positive one removed.
I've suspected for a while that even his bad .891 SV% this year was bolstered by say the Chicago, Arizonas, etc of the world and if these are accurate it kind of confirms it for me.
![[Baugh] The #Avs Stanley Cup film airs tonight](https://www.rawchili.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/1rXLJHEEaW95tbuo3jbdsPUTqTMumUer-c3UYDLKQIg.jpg)
8 comments
I hate to say this but I’m a realist. The cup is not coming to Colorado this year. We have a massive issue at goaltending that will kill us. We over played Georegiev this year and it’s catching up to us. At this point I don’t think we make it out of the first round.
I’d love to also know, what was Georgiev’s SV% in the first ~10 shots of the game. The Avs have 26 comeback wins (2nd in the NHL) and I feel like a lot of these are on the back of an early, bad goal given up by him, causing the Avs to chase the game minutes into it.
You can do that against Chicago and other teams but when you jump into the playoffs against teams with goalies like Hellebuyk it’s just not sustainable.
So… just curious… what’s juice’s percentage(s)?
I don’t wanna dogpile but I just can’t help it
Yeah it’s not looking good, and I don’t buy the whole “overplayed” thing. Dude has struggled all year, not just recently. I mean, at one point early in the season (like October/November), he posted a sub-.900 sv% in 10 of 11 games. Plus, he played almost the exact same number of games last year and he didn’t struggle down the stretch or in the playoffs. His problem is a mental one. The guy just looks like he has a case of the yips, and I’m not sure that’s curable in a week.
There was a moment last game in the second period. One of the VGK guys had a point shot and it hit off the inside of the post but stayed out. I don’t remember who took the shot.
They played a single replay of that shot that was showing Georgie up close. You could see he was slow on the puck. The moment it hit the bar, you could physically see him… “give up”? Maybe there is a better word, but his shoulders dropped, and he kind of sat there looking defeated.
The puck didn’t go in, but you could see it in his actions that he was expecting it to do so. He is so in his own head right now. It was still a 3-0 game at this point, so he had no reason to be down other than it showed what he expected to happen.
I keep hoping and pulling for Georgie to get out of this slump, but things like this make me worry even more.