@@Houston Astros

Top 5 Plays of the Night by Win Probability Added 4/30

  • May 1, 2024


1 – v10 Victor Caratini 2-Run Homer, Dubon Scored, Game Over (9-8, Gaddis), 83.8% WPA HOU > HOU 100.0% WE (5.91 LI)

2 – ^10 David Fry Doubled to Left, J. Naylor Scored (8-8, Hader), 31.7% WPA CLE > CLE 61.6% WE (3.66 LI)

3 – ^6 Estevan Florial 3-Run Homer, Brennan Scored, Freeman Scored (5-8, Montero), 31.3% WPA CLE > HOU 55.8% WE (1.66 LI)

4 – v3 Alex Bregman 3-Run Homer, Singleton Scored, Altuve Scored (3-0, Carrasco), 28.1% WPA HOU > HOU 51.2% WE (1.77 LI)

5 – ^1 Josh Naylor 3-Run Homer, Kwan Scored, Giminez Scored (0-0, Brown), 21.6% WPA CLE > CLE 75.4% WE (1.93 LI)

4 comments

  1. Video: Victor Caratini’s walk-off two-run home run (2)

    [Streamable Link](https://streamable.com/m/victor-caratini-homers-2-on-a-line-drive-to-right-center-field-mauricio-d)

    [High Definition](https://mlb-cuts-diamond.mlb.com/FORGE/2024/2024-04/30/26f53051-bd8f82df-9459a54c-csvm-diamondx64-asset_1280x720_59_16000K.mp4) (51.7 MB)

    [Standard Definiton](https://mlb-cuts-diamond.mlb.com/FORGE/2024/2024-04/30/26f53051-bd8f82df-9459a54c-csvm-diamondx64-asset_1280x720_59_4000K.mp4) (13.49 MB)

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    Video: David Fry’s go-ahead double

    [Streamable Link](https://streamable.com/m/josh-hader-in-play-run-s-to-david-fry)

    [High Definition](https://mlb-cuts-diamond.mlb.com/FORGE/2024/2024-04/30/dc29da62-6036372a-988da6e3-csvm-diamondx64-asset_1280x720_59_16000K.mp4) (43.08 MB)

    [Standard Definiton](https://mlb-cuts-diamond.mlb.com/FORGE/2024/2024-04/30/dc29da62-6036372a-988da6e3-csvm-diamondx64-asset_1280x720_59_4000K.mp4) (11.14 MB)

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    Video: Estevan Florial hits a game-tying three-run homer (3)

    [Streamable Link](https://streamable.com/m/estevan-florial-homers-3-on-a-line-drive-to-right-field-will-brennan-scor)

    [High Definition](https://mlb-cuts-diamond.mlb.com/FORGE/2024/2024-04/30/5c26a9bb-f2f8992a-16dde897-csvm-diamondx64-asset_1280x720_59_16000K.mp4) (43.77 MB)

    [Standard Definiton](https://mlb-cuts-diamond.mlb.com/FORGE/2024/2024-04/30/5c26a9bb-f2f8992a-16dde897-csvm-diamondx64-asset_1280x720_59_4000K.mp4) (11.37 MB)

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    Video: Alex Bregman slugs his first home run of 2024

    [Streamable Link](https://streamable.com/m/alex-bregman-homers-1-on-a-fly-ball-to-left-center-field-jon-singleton-sc)

    [High Definition](https://mlb-cuts-diamond.mlb.com/FORGE/2024/2024-04/30/2f49df03-d728ccd6-cb2f9b79-csvm-diamondx64-asset_1280x720_59_16000K.mp4) (43.58 MB)

    [Standard Definiton](https://mlb-cuts-diamond.mlb.com/FORGE/2024/2024-04/30/2f49df03-d728ccd6-cb2f9b79-csvm-diamondx64-asset_1280x720_59_4000K.mp4) (11.44 MB)

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    Video: Josh Naylor’s three-run HR (7)

    [Streamable Link](https://streamable.com/m/josh-naylor-homers-7-on-a-fly-ball-to-left-field-steven-kwan-scores-andre)

    [High Definition](https://mlb-cuts-diamond.mlb.com/FORGE/2024/2024-04/30/a530386c-2c1d2e12-f7df0a4e-csvm-diamondx64-asset_1280x720_59_16000K.mp4) (53.53 MB)

    [Standard Definiton](https://mlb-cuts-diamond.mlb.com/FORGE/2024/2024-04/30/a530386c-2c1d2e12-f7df0a4e-csvm-diamondx64-asset_1280x720_59_4000K.mp4) (13.87 MB)

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    [More Info](/r/MLBVideoConverterBot)

  3. I may be in the minority on this, but I think Caratinis hit had a big impact on us winning the game.

  4. Does a walk off home run really add to the likelihood of winning …?

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