Kiley McDaniels’ ESPN 2024 MLB Mock Draft: Bazzana to Guardians, Condon to Reds
May 8, 2024
Kiley McDaniels’ ESPN 2024 MLB Mock Draft: Bazzana to Guardians, Condon to Reds
6 comments
Interesting note in here:
> McDaniel noted Bazzana and Florida’s Jac Caglianone are the “leading options” for Cleveland right now due to the team’s preference, not an indication of potential signing bonus savings since those don’t get “floated until much later” in the process.
I guess I’m confused why we’d take Bazzana over Caglianone or Condon
“Charlie Condon, no matter what”
In the last few weeks I’ve found some very interesting data points for both
Charlie Condon has a sub 69% contact rate against off speed pitches this year, he also has a 77% pull rate on his home runs. That number is notable because of our 20 foot high wall in left. Condon may also play the outfield, but he plays an average depth almost 3 feet further back than the average center fielder in the SEC, almost to keep everything in front of him instead of asking him to turn and run.
Bazzana has top 5 EV% in the class, however he’s top 10 EV% in the class to all 5 parts of the field (Left, Left Center, Right, Right Center, Right) Condon is top 15%. Caglianone is also top 10%
For as many Home runs as Condon is hitting, his SLG percentage is all the way up to 1.673 (last I checked) however Bazzana is right behind him at 1.568. A 0.105 point difference.
Bazzana also took his home run total and surpassed his strike out total (again at last check) the only college bat in recent memory (last 10 years or so) that’s come close to having a 2.5/1 BB/K rate with 20 home runs is Adley Rutshcman.
There’s also some Astros level allegations that UGA is cheating at home with a camera in the opposing dug outs and such and Condons home-away splits are pretty damning information to use to back that case up
Now we can say Condon played harder competition on the road, but then that creates the argument of how how he really is to struggle so much more vs better teams.
Bazzana has an 85% contact rate, to Condons 80% Both post a 90% in zone contact rate
Bazzana makes contact on 74% of swings out of zone to 58% for Condon and that backs up the idea that Condon struggles a lot with off speed pitches.
Bazzana has a staggeringly low chase percentage of 17%, Condon is at 26%. Again with the can’t see the breaking ball stuff here.
It’s just a rumor
We haven’t done too bad with players from Oregon State. I’ve been pleased with them.
6 comments
Interesting note in here:
> McDaniel noted Bazzana and Florida’s Jac Caglianone are the “leading options” for Cleveland right now due to the team’s preference, not an indication of potential signing bonus savings since those don’t get “floated until much later” in the process.
I guess I’m confused why we’d take Bazzana over Caglianone or Condon
“Charlie Condon, no matter what”
In the last few weeks I’ve found some very interesting data points for both
Charlie Condon has a sub 69% contact rate against off speed pitches this year, he also has a 77% pull rate on his home runs. That number is notable because of our 20 foot high wall in left. Condon may also play the outfield, but he plays an average depth almost 3 feet further back than the average center fielder in the SEC, almost to keep everything in front of him instead of asking him to turn and run.
Bazzana has top 5 EV% in the class, however he’s top 10 EV% in the class to all 5 parts of the field (Left, Left Center, Right, Right Center, Right) Condon is top 15%. Caglianone is also top 10%
For as many Home runs as Condon is hitting, his SLG percentage is all the way up to 1.673 (last I checked) however Bazzana is right behind him at 1.568. A 0.105 point difference.
Bazzana also took his home run total and surpassed his strike out total (again at last check) the only college bat in recent memory (last 10 years or so) that’s come close to having a 2.5/1 BB/K rate with 20 home runs is Adley Rutshcman.
There’s also some Astros level allegations that UGA is cheating at home with a camera in the opposing dug outs and such and Condons home-away splits are pretty damning information to use to back that case up
2024 Condon Home -> Away
K%: 13.9 / 20
BB%: 17.2 / 15.4
GB%: 20.8 / 35
LD%: 22.9 / 10
FB%: 56.3 / 55
IFFB%: 1 / 12.5
BABIP: .520 / .258
wRC+: 278 / 184
Now we can say Condon played harder competition on the road, but then that creates the argument of how how he really is to struggle so much more vs better teams.
Bazzana has an 85% contact rate, to Condons 80%
Both post a 90% in zone contact rate
Bazzana makes contact on 74% of swings out of zone to 58% for Condon and that backs up the idea that Condon struggles a lot with off speed pitches.
Bazzana has a staggeringly low chase percentage of 17%, Condon is at 26%. Again with the can’t see the breaking ball stuff here.
It’s just a rumor
We haven’t done too bad with players from Oregon State. I’ve been pleased with them.