Prompted by this post from the bird app, which alleges that other teams' executives expect the Cavs to do a 2-for-1 for cap space: https://x.com/realcavsfans/status/1870124416161529940

Just wanted to understand the actual probability of this happening, or if it is the usual trade deadline rumor-mongering. Obviously we have so far benefited from a deep bench and good vibes and both can be in danger with a trade. I also refuse to dig into anything related to "taxes" when I'm off the clock from my day job unless it's April.

4 comments

  1. Very difficult to assess probabilities since we don’t know how motivated Gilbert is to get a tax payout. But that minimal sub-$2 million difference is roughly the equivalent of an $18-$20 million payout being received by all the sub-tax teams.

    I’m skeptical Dan’s gonna wanna do anything to mess with the perception that this team is trying to compete, when we actually look contender worthy. People/fans are far more tolerant of these type of frugality measures when you’re further away from a title than we now appear to be.

    All that to say that if it does happen, I think it will only be for a deal that can be justified from both a basketball improvement and economic perspective.

  2. I mean rival executives have also said Allen, garland, Mitchell and Okoro wouldn’t be on the roster at this point. I’m sure the Cavs would like to dodge the luxury tax and will have to look at what they can get for guys they might not be able to keep long term/ look who’s available that could help, but I would put little stock in vague rumors

  3. Yeah this makes the most sense, both from the luxury tax perspective and the minutes log jam

    Could see something like TT and CPJ plus one of our seconds for a backup big in $2-3 million range

  4. If there’s a player on an expiring contract they can get in a 2-for-1 deal that would be an improvement for the roster, as far as talent is concerned (at SF position), which keeps them under the salary cap next year, it might be worth it. As far as I am aware, if the roster stands pat next year, we’ll not only be over the first apron but near the second apron. Either scenario is bad, but the latter is definitely awful to be in if you’re not winning the trophy.

    I know nothing about who’s on expiring deals, or could be gotten for cheap that’d be a marked improvement at SF, but if there’s an obvious choice that fits either criteria, this is the time to make the move, imo.

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