I'll make my predictions now:

140 GP .270/.350/.775 Slash line

15 HR

60 RBI

.275 BA

.350 OBP

.425 SLG

.775 OPS

2.5-3.5 WAR player thanks to the solid offense and good defense in right. Hope he utilizes his speed on the base paths more aswell

12 comments

  1. His floor is probably a low .700s ops this year. Wouldn’t be horrible, especially if he has a decent average but low slug, similar to 2023-2024 Peña. Or, he could be horrible in spring training and completely shut me up. Hopefully not though

  2. I think it was more about the MLB being about adjustments, and he has a wide toolset, so it took longer than most pure rookies to be figured out by pitchers. The league is ruthless, and those pitchers and pitching staffs are elite at finding mistakes in hitters.

  3. I think your OPS is a little high, if he gets anything over a 7 and I’m happy. .775 OPS with his defense, which I think will be better from experience, would be a 5+ WAR player. For reference, Wyatt Langford had a .775 OPS and 5.6 WAR last year in 134 games

    Cam was 1.9 WAR in 134 games with a .671 OPS. Bump that up to .715 and you have a 3 WAR player that hits about league average, I’m good with than and then he takes a jump in year 3

  4. Early in the season I felt like he focused on contact and did a great job of drawing walks. At some point he started working on trying to hit the ball with more power, and this unfortunately coincided with when the fatigue of the dog days of Summer started to kick in, and when opposing teams had enough footage to know how to get him out. He lost his contact, he still lacked power, and he started striking out on 3-2 counts.

    This year feels like a development year and we might see extended periods of 0/1 hit games with only 1-3 ABs, mixed with hot streaks. I doubt he’ll play every day. Your stats lines feel a bit optimistic to me (I expect BA around .250 and everything else to fall in line with that), and I don’t think he plays more than 130 games.

    I hope I’m wrong!

  5. “worn out”. Such a good point. Hadn’t considered that. Last season he racked up his most plate appearances in a season. Slightly less in 2024. But at least in 2024 the schedule wasn’t as tight as an MLB schedule and he would have had a several weeks break in between college and the minors.

  6. I think the ceiling is high. He could turn in a very good first half and be an all-star candidate. He has that type of potential.

    His floor is a demotion to AAA. If he’s really struggling to put it all together, he might benefit from a confidence boost in Sugar Land. His saving grace is the Astros don’t have a lot of OF options at the moment and he’ll likely get a long leash.

  7. I think hes going to need a couple more years to really start to shine like we know he can. Took tucker a couple seasons to really breakout and live up to his potential.

    Cams fine, hes going to be great but he needs to develop and at the big leauge level that means playing games. Give him a few years and i think were going to be very happy with him.

  8. I think this time off will do wonders for him. He went from college to the pros, quick. A good Spring Training knowing he’s in the majors I think he’ll improve.

  9. I know one thing, his defense will be playable every day. He was amazing moving to a new position last year.

  12. He won’t be in lineup after game 81. Get sent down because his performance is well below average

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