Ryan Thibodaux has been doing amazing work tabulating HOF votes from the electors for the past 11 years or so, a truly amazing resource. I wrote about it once, I'd share the link, but it's dead (RIP Beyond the Box Score). Here's what you're seeing:
First four columns–years on the ballot, career Baseball-Reference Wins Above Replacement, and the votes and percent of the ballots cast so far. To date, an estimated 52.6 percent of votes have been made public. But wait–there's more.
The real party starts when looking at the votes needed to gain selection. Using Carlos Beltran, Ryan estimates there are 424 voters. Beltran needs 318 to gain election. He received 277 votes in 2025, meaning he needs to add 41 votes to get in. V Proj is 297, or 21 short of what he needs.
It's rather complicated, including the fact that voters that choose not to make their ballots public tend to vote for fewer candidates by a rather significant margin. But, what Ryan has (and continues to do) gives us a lot of fodder in the winter doldrums. Long story short–no induction for any of these candidates, and wtg to Jeff Kent–I wrote about him as well back in the day as deserving of entry.
5 comments
Since the Baseball Writers of America let Barry Bonds’ HOF eligibility expire, I’ve decided the HOF as a whole is not that special anymore. You can’t exclude a mount Rushmore batter because he was kind of a dick to you throughout his career. I literally dont care who gets in anymore
Carlos Beltran, the cheater?
Seeing David Wright potentially over perform gives me hope. I know he’ll never make it, but he was a really good player that was fun to watch.
A. Jeff Kent didn’t deserve entry, OP. Nope, nope nope.
B. Sorry, but I don’t believe that Beltran is flatlining and Jones nearly so.
C. I also don’t believe that Hernandez is surging that much, that Hamels is getting that many votes in his first year, or other things.
Cool