There have been a few threads in r/ nba bringing up Luka's prospects for MVP — for all those interested in that, there's some good news/corroboration of your feelings.
Following the 36pt drubbing of the Kings, Luka has ascended to the 2nd place on Basketball Reference's MVP Tracker. He has not been as high since 5 November. After starting the season at the top of the tracker, he dropped to second after the loss to Nuggets in the 5th game of the season and soon thereafter dropped to 3rd.
Recently, Luka, Giannis and Shai have all been hovering in the low-teens-% for the last week or so, with Jokic well ahead. Luka has emerged on top of the chaser group for the first time.
BBRef MVP tracker is a simple model based on individual players' PTS, AST and REB per game as well as team wins. They outlined how it works here. It is, in itself, of course meaningless. However, it has historically been surprisingly predictive for such a simple model — and it's fun.
Today's rankings for future reference.
3 comments
Vegas still dosent like his odds… but the chances are there.
I’ve held the opinion for a while now that if Luka can get this team to a top 4 seed with all of the bad injury luck, bad coaching, and downright unlucky opposition shot-making (*cough* Cleveland *cough*) I think he should be the MVP. I just didn’t think the 4 seed was in play until very recently. I fear the media has already crowned Jokic the MVP though.
However, if we come bursting out of the gates next year with this squad and get a bit better injury luck and finish in the top 4 then idk how the media denies him.
Only way Luka wins MVP is if we are n1 seed and the Nuggest are trash